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What a spectacular match Tuesday as the Champions League quarters kick off. I'm certainly no Wile E. Coyote, super genius, when it comes to soccer but Real Madrid when healthy as a home dog has to be quite rare. The Whites are unbeaten in their past nine vs. Bayern (W7 D2) and have seven home wins in their last eight in the series. Real Madrid has one loss in its past 23 overall against German clubs. Kylian Mbappé has averaged a goal every 56 minutes for Real Madrid in this year's UCL (13 goals in nine games) and of players to reach at least 10 goals in the event, only Erling Haaland in 2019-20 has done so while maintaining a better MPG ratio (55).
I know that people are going to be say this line is too juicy at -146, but to be honest I would have used this as a parlay piece if it was -200. I know that Real Madrid have Champions League heritage and I understand that even as underdogs, they can pull off miraculous performances like they did against Manchester City last round. However, this is Bayern Munich's year. This squad is devastating and prides themselves on their road success. I wouldn't be shocked if the first leg sees a draw, but this line shouldn't be playable.
I'm betting on the UCL fixtures early because I think we're going to find some soft lines and solid CLV. This matchup is going to be the one everyone is looking at. We have arguably the best attack in the world right now under Vincent Kompany taking on a Real Madrid side that is finally expected to have Kylian Mbappe returning to the starting XI. The pitch is going to be littered with world-class talent, and two managers who are aggressively attack minded. I'm expected both legs to see BTTS cash, and over 3.5 as well.

