The same reason why I like the Kairat spread is the reason I like the under here. 4.5 is a big line for a team that doesn't need anything from this match. Arsenal are top of the table sitting with a perfect 7-0 season while picking up 20 goals and only conceding two. I don't expect Kairat to score here, but with Arsenal having to travel to play Leeds in just a few days I don't expect them to run it up. I'm looking at a 3-0 win for Arsenal.

No matter what happens in this fixture Arsenal have already secured themselves at the top of the table which means, this match doesn't matter. Arsenal if they played their best starting 11 and tried for 90 minutes would win this match by 5+ goals, but that's now what they're going to do here. Arsenal will heavily rotate their squad for this match, and Kairat will try to give their supporters one final moment of glory before their time in UCL ends. Arsenal will still win, but closer than most expect.

Not sure why Arsenal would go pedal to the metal having clinched at worst a top-two spot in the Champions League group stage and most likely the No. 1 -- so it's basically a "dead rubber game" as they say over the pond. A handful of key Gunners are out led by Declan Rice and Mikel Merino. They have a bigger match Saturday back in the Premier League, where things have suddenly been a struggle. Probably see a fair amount of subs on Wednesday. Here's hoping for 4-0 or 3-1.