Chelsea are sitting in the coveted eight place on the UCL table, but are even on points with five other clubs. The reason Chelsea are placed above those five is due to their goal differential, meaning they've scored more goals than they've conceded by the largest margin. Teams like Barcelona and Manchester City are expected to win today, which means who actually gets the eight spot could come down to goal differential. This all is a fancy way of saying that teams like Chelsea not only need to win, but need to win by multiple goals. Expect Chelsea to continue to press even if they go up 1-0/2-0 early.

If Napoli was at full strength I think I'd pick them to win, but they're not, and it's not even close. Napoli are missing Kevin DeBruyne, Billy Gilmour, David Neres, Matteo Politano, Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Amir Rrahmani, Pasqale Mazzocchi and Frank Anguissa. That's just too many big players to back Napoli to do anything. They'll have to press for goals, but they're in for a rough time as their backups try to stop players like Joao Pedro from scoring.

Napoli sits 25th in the Champions League table and thus is surely not advancing with a loss and maybe not a draw, either. So it should be going all-out Wednesday against a Chelsea side that is guaranteed a spot in the knockout rounds. The Blues are playing for a top-eight spot (could get with a draw) but a little different than playing for your existence. Napoli has won eight of its past 11 UEFA matches at home against English teams. Chelsea has won just two of its past 13 in Italy.