Our model has this has as a draw and that's my hope. Galatasaray is atop the Turkish Super Lig and 18th in the UCL table with an even goal differential. Atleti is unbeaten in the previous six meetings between the sides (W4 D2) but they haven't played since the 2015-16 Champions League group stage. Galatasaray has won only one of its last 21 matches against Spanish teams (D5 L15), but I don't need a win. Victor Osimhen helped Nigeria finish third at the Africa Cup of Nations and is available for Galatasaray. He leads the club with six UCL goals. Los Colchoneros, meanwhile, are 1-2 on the road in this season's UCL.

I know that -188 is a big amount of juice, but this should be -300 in my opinion. We have the monsters at home Galatasary, loaded with good attacking talent, hosting Atletico madrid who are averaging over three goals per match in their UCL matches. Both teams have had extremely shaky defenses as of late. Both teams have incredible attackers like Julian Alvarez and Mauro Icardi. Both teams need points to finish and have a desire to escape with all three points. I'm going for a high scoring draw. 2-2 sounds perfect to me!

There are very few football venues in the world as intimidating as RAMS Park. When Galatasaray beat Liverpool at home, this was the place Mo Salah said the crowd got to him and the environment and fans are so loud its impossible to think. I know Athletic are a good team, and I'm not saying they aren't good enough to get a point here, however, anytime I can get this spread that gives me Galatasaray Double Chance at home, I'm going to take it!