I don't fade Cesc Fabregas when his squad plays at home. They're just too good this season! Players like Nico Paz and Anastasios Douvikas are helping propel on the attack, but they've also been a fortress on defense. I would take this bet even if Milan didn't look awful it recent weeks. It does help that they have looked bad though. Milan are coming off back to back draws to Genoa and Fiorentina, both ending 1-1. Something is off with Milan right now, so give me this Como spread all day!
Hopefully y'all don't get tired of me doing this same play every other week. It's very simple. I see Como playing at home, I bet under 2.5 goals. I don't care if they're playing Milan, Atalanta, Fiorentina, or Udinese, I just take this bet. They have still only seen the over hit once all season long while playing at home, and that combined with AC Milan's wildly struggling attack, makes this a no brainer for me!
Como might have the best stadium location on the planet and is averaging 2.11 points per home game. I Lariani are on a nine-game unbeaten run at home. Cesc Fabregas' side is unbeaten in the last four overall. AC Milan has looked rather average in 2026 thus far with a win and two draws, not scoring more than one goal in any. Top Milan defender Strahinja Pavlovic is out. Niclas Füllkrug is in question with a fractured toe.
