Buffalo is in the rare and unenviable spot of playing 5 games in 7 days tonight in Nashville. Buffalo's play has also started to trend down after their prolonged winning streak while being priced at a market peak. Preds come into this game with added rest after being blown out by Vegas on Saturday in a game that was much closer than the final score indicated. This number is a substantial discount from where I priced it so we'll make a bigger play than normal given all those details.

Buffalo will play its third game in four days, and a back-to-back is one of the most difficult situational challenges in the NHL. The absence of Josh Norris further weakens Buffalo’s center depth. This is a prime "scheduled win" opportunity for Nashville: they are rested, playing at home, and facing a depleted Buffalo squad that will be fatigued after chasing the puck against Carolina on Monday. Nashville ranks 6th in face-off win percentage, while Buffalo sits at 32nd. The Predators also welcome back Jonathan Marchessault, who has tallied 554 points in 745 career games. Nashville returns home after conceding 7 goals in Vegas. The Predators have defeated the Avalanche twice this season—a feat that few teams have managed even once against Colorado.