This smells like a 5-4 game to me with Devils backup Josh Allen in net (he runs very hot and cold) and top blueliner Dougie Hamilton still out. If the Oilers score at least four goals, I have to think Ryan Nugent-Hopkins gets at minimum an assist playing on the top line with Connor McDavid and Zach Hyman. RNH also has 17 power-play points.

The Edmonton Oilers are ranked first in shots on goal and ninth in shots allowed per game. They own the third-best shot differential at +300. The Oilers have same-season revenge from a 3-0 loss in Edmonton despite outshooting New Jersey 31-16. Edmonton has been one of the best teams in this role. Jack Hughes is a significant loss against a team like Edmonton. The Oilers are ranked 10th in Face-off percentage, while New Jersey is ranked 21st. They have been steadily declining without Hughes, who excels in Face-offs. Edmonton is 10-6 when playing with two days of rest. I like the road team.