Maybe the Coyotes should just stay in that 5,000-seat Arizona State arena as they have been very good at home this season and they are selling out games when they never used to in a regular-sized building in Glendale. The Yotes do enter on a two-game home skid but lost each by a goal to powerhouses Edmonton and Colorado. Dallas could easily be looking past this one to a huge matchup Saturday at the Avalanche. Wouldn't surprise me if No. 1 goaltender Jake Oettinger gets tonight off so he's ready for the Avs.

We've had some recent success backing bad NHL teams ATS, so why stop now? Arizona's covering in a noteworthy 71% of my model's simulations. The price isn't awfully high here, like some NHL spreads are prone to being. I like Arizona's chances of keeping this one close -- and they're actually winning in 47% of the sims.