There's some juice here, but model thinks it's worth it. Detroit is covering in an impressive 73% of my simulations, bringing sound value at this price. Detroit isn't exactly an impressive team, but Pittsburgh's Tristian Jarry has struggled of late. The Red Wings should cover if they can turn this into a rock fight.

I'm locking this in now, as I don't want to risk it moving up to 6.5. The Penguins and Red Wings faced off once this season in Pittsburgh, and the Red Wings walked away with a 5-4 victory. Detroit's Alex Nedeljkovic has a 3.83 GAA. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh's Tristan Jarry has struggled as of late, recording a 3.78 GAA in his last 13 games. Six straight Detroit home games have had at least six goals, so I'll bet on this one to end similarly.