Expert Picks
NHL | Pittsburgh 4 @ Detroit 7 | 03/28 | 11:00 PM UTC
Detroit +1.5 -165
WIN
ANALYSIS: There's some juice here, but model thinks it's worth it. Detroit is covering in an impressive 73% of my simulations, bringing sound value at this price. Detroit isn't exactly an impressive team, but Pittsburgh's Tristian Jarry has struggled of late. The Red Wings should cover if they can turn this into a rock fight.
Stephen Oh
Data Scientist
Season Splits
40-41, -1480 ML
35-46, -264 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
49%
36-37, -1298
31-41, -388
43%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
43%
16-21, -886
17-19, -165
47%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
61%
30-19, -168
21-32, -153
39%
When Line was -206 to -176
MONEY LINE
When Line was +145 to +175
40%
2-3, -195
2-11, -781
15%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
64%
11-6, +37
10-13, -12
43%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
65%
15-8, -53
7-13, -319
35%
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
63%
26-15, +80
25-28, +92
47%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
54%
32-27, -550
25-34, -672
42%
vs DET
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PIT
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +171
100%
when Casey DeSmith starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Alex Nedeljkovic starts
45%
14-17, -833
2-7, -363
22%