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Wed 06/08 | 12:00 AM UTC | Tampa
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Rangers 62-39, +1220 ML
NYR +1.5-170
NYR +170
Over 5.5+110
Tampa Bay Lightning 65-39, +219 ML
TB -1.5+145
TB -200
Under 5.5-130

Expert Picks

NHL | N.Y. Rangers 1 @ Tampa Bay 4 | 06/08 | 12:00 AM UTC

Tampa Bay -170

WIN

ANALYSIS: Wicked smart to take this now if you like Tampa Bay because my guess is this only rises considering the Bolts closed around -190 for Game 3. The Rangers had the champs cooked with a 2-0 lead in the third period of Game 3 and a shot at a 3-0 series edge and they blew it. I completely believe that swings this entire series. Frankly, the Lightning should have won in outshooting the Rangers 51-30, but Tampa keeps taking dumb penalties. New York may not have forward Ryan Strome for this one after he left Sunday's game injured. I like the Lightning regardless but that wouldn't be insignificant as Strome had 54 points in the regular season and nine in the postseason. Twitter: @jordanpaytonsn1

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1250 29-13 IN LAST 42 NYR ML PICKS
+1368 40-20 IN LAST 60 TB ML PICKS

Season Splits

62-39, +1220 ML
65-39, +219 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
62%
62-37, +1420
60-36, +80
62%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
27-22, +354
32-15, +164
68%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
51%
22-21, +493
51-26, +60
66%
When Line was +138 to +168
MONEY LINE
When Line was -195 to -165
23%
3-10, -557
6-4, -67
60%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
41%
12-17, -178
31-15, +68
67%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
54%
29-24, +604
24-23, -219
51%
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <2.6 GPG
58%
20-14, +475
8-7, -104
53%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
63%
54-31, +1386
49-34, -478
59%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYR
83%
5-1, +503
1-5, -447
16%
when Igor Shesterkin starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Andrei Vasilevskiy starts
65%
45-24, +1436
49-28, +299
63%