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    Sat 05/28 | 12:00 AM UTC | St. Louis
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Colorado Avalanche 54-34, +101 ML
    COL -1.5+145
    COL -175
    Over 6.5-115
    St. Louis Blues 37-44, -360 ML
    STL +1.5-170
    STL +150
    Under 6.5-105

    Expert Picks

    NHL | Colorado 3 @ St. Louis 2 | 05/28 | 12:00 AM UTC

    Colorado -170

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: I have gone back-and-forth on this one regarding whether to take the Blues puckline or not. My concern in taking it is that Colorado won both games in St. Louis by three each and really was dominating Game 5 at home before completely falling apart. The ghosts of a possible Game 7 also loom for an Avalanche franchise that has lost five consecutive Game 7s. With the Blues' season on the line, they might pull their goalie very, very early if trailing in the third again ... which leads me to think the Avalanche may win by multiple goals on an empty-netter -- like they should have in Game 5 (but I'll never do -1.5 on the puckline in the playoffs). Hard to trust Blues netminder Ville Husso considering he has allowed at least four goals in five straight games.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +190 6-3 IN LAST 9 STL ML PICKS

    Season Splits

    54-34, +101 ML
    37-44, -360 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    69%
    63-28, +324
    55-38, +858
    59%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    62%
    28-17, -73
    28-18, +119
    60%
    As Favorite
    STATUS
    As Underdog or Even
    71%
    60-24, +407
    18-18, +604
    50%
    When Line was -181 to -151
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was +126 to +156
    73%
    11-4, +266
    5-7, -35
    41%
    As Road Favorite
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Underdog
    65%
    25-13, +10
    3-7, -372
    30%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    60%
    23-15, +41
    24-17, +992
    58%
    vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
    69%
    38-17, -51
    18-12, +814
    60%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    68%
    55-25, +191
    49-33, +788
    59%
    vs STL
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs COL
    62%
    5-3, +11
    3-5, +50
    37%
    when Darcy Kuemper starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Ville Husso starts
    70%
    46-19, +571
    28-16, +841
    63%