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Sat 05/28 | 12:00 AM UTC | St. Louis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Colorado Avalanche 71-30, +670 ML
COL -1.5+145
COL -175
Over 6.5-115
St. Louis Blues 55-38, +858 ML
STL +1.5-170
STL +150
Under 6.5-105

Expert Picks

NHL | Colorado 3 @ St. Louis 2 | 05/28 | 12:00 AM UTC

Colorado -170

WIN

ANALYSIS: I have gone back-and-forth on this one regarding whether to take the Blues puckline or not. My concern in taking it is that Colorado won both games in St. Louis by three each and really was dominating Game 5 at home before completely falling apart. The ghosts of a possible Game 7 also loom for an Avalanche franchise that has lost five consecutive Game 7s. With the Blues' season on the line, they might pull their goalie very, very early if trailing in the third again ... which leads me to think the Avalanche may win by multiple goals on an empty-netter -- like they should have in Game 5 (but I'll never do -1.5 on the puckline in the playoffs). Hard to trust Blues netminder Ville Husso considering he has allowed at least four goals in five straight games.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+597 22-11 IN LAST 33 COL ML PICKS

Season Splits

71-30, +670 ML
55-38, +858 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
69%
63-28, +324
55-38, +858
59%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
62%
28-17, -73
28-18, +119
60%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
71%
60-24, +407
18-18, +604
50%
When Line was -181 to -151
MONEY LINE
When Line was +126 to +156
73%
11-4, +266
5-7, -35
41%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
65%
25-13, +10
3-7, -372
30%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
60%
23-15, +41
24-17, +992
58%
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
69%
38-17, -51
18-12, +814
60%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
68%
55-25, +191
49-33, +788
59%
vs STL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs COL
62%
5-3, +11
3-5, +50
37%
when Darcy Kuemper starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Ville Husso starts
70%
46-19, +571
28-16, +841
63%