The Senators have won seven of their last 10 games and they are starting Filip Gustavsson, who is 4-1-2 with a 2.04 GAA and .937 save percentage. The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight games, but they are starting Frederik Anderson who is coming off the IR. The Senators are 13-10-4 this season at home, but the Maple Leafs have been very good on the road. The Senators have actually won three out of eight matchups, including two of four at home this season.

This is the season finale for Ottawa, which has been playing quite well for about a month. The Sens would love to end the year with momentum and a win in the Battle of Ontario. I'm not sure how much the Leafs will care considering they have already wrapped up the North Division title and still have one additional meaningless regular season game to go. They might rest some guys. Frederik Andersen is in net and could be rusty as he hasn't played since March 19. We'll take the Sens on the puckline.

Other than being a rivalry game, not much at stake here as the Leafs have clinched the North Division and Ottawa is eliminated from the playoffs. Slightly better than 61 percent of my model simulations have the Battle of Ontario finishing Under 6.5 goals -- likely right on 6 goals.