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    Sun, Dec 019:05 pm UTCBank of America Stadium
    46 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Tampa Bay
    Buccaneers
    TB
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L6-6
    ATS7-5
    O/U8-4-0
    FINAL SCORE
    26
    -
    23
    Carolina
    Panthers
    CAR
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L3-9
    ATS5-7
    O/U9-3-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    6-6
    Win /Loss
    3-9
    7-5
    Spread
    5-7
    8-4-0
    Over / Under
    9-3-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    CB
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    LB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    ILB
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    CB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    TB @ CAR
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    TB @ CAR
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    TB @ CAR
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    80%
    PUBLIC
    20%
    MONEY
    91%
    PUBLIC
    9%
    MONEY
    Over73%
    PUBLIC
    Under27%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsAdam Thielen Over 39.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit1.5
    +1642
    39-23 in Last 62 NFL Player Props Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    Thielen made an immediate impact after returning from injury last week, going for 3 receptions & 57 yards against the Chiefs. Thielen will now face a Bucs secondary that ranks 29th in pass yards allowed per game. Thielen has only played in 4 games this season, but has recorded a 30+ yard catch in 3 of them, including a season long 36-yarder last week. Panthers QB Bryce Young has looked much improved over the last few weeks. I expect Young to send 5+ targets Thielen’s way, which should be enough to clear this modest receiving yards total for a reliable route-runner like Thielen.

    Pick Made: Sun 6:39 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsBaker Mayfield Over 237.5 Total Passing Yards -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +174
    7-5 in Last 12 NFL Player Props Picks
    Megan's Analysis:

    With WR Mike Evans back last week, QB Baker Mayfield completed 80% of his passes against the Giants. Today he faces the Carolina Panthers, who do not pressure the quarterback and are a great matchup for Mayfield and the Buccaneers' offense. We also know the Buccaneers have a high pass rate over expectation, so I like Mayfield to keep it rolling and soar past his passing prop today.

    Pick Made: Sun 3:05 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Passing CompletionsBaker Mayfield Over 22.5 Total Passing Completions -114
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +278.5
    27-21 in Last 48 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    The Panthers are among the most zone-heavy coverage defenses with the worst pass rush pressure rate on the year with a second-worst 17 sacks on the season. That creates a positive environment for Mayfield to complete short, easy passes like the ones he throws to his running backs. It helps that Mayfield has gone over this total in 5 of his past 6, and I also happen to think the game will be competitive, forcing the Bucs to throw a lot more than some might think.

    Pick Made: Nov 29, 6:28 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsBucky Irving Over 54.5 Total Rushing Yards -114
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +681.5
    41-29 in Last 70 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Bucky Irving has been sensational in the Bucs backfield and is a big reason why Tampa boasts the 8th best rushing attack according to EPA. This is notable because the Bucs were downright dreadful the last two seasons when it came to running the football, ranking dead last in nearly every efficiency metric. Irving looks to have finally proven to the coaching staff that he deserves to be the lead back and has back to back games with at least 12 touches. Now he faces a dreadful Carolina run defense that is 31st in EPA allowed per rush, in addition to ranking dead last in Success Rate.

    Pick Made: Nov 29, 5:53 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsMike Evans Over 60.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1415
    29-13 in Last 42 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    It's a great matchup for Mike Evans and now that he's seemingly recovered from his hamstring injury, he's back to his role as the featured target for Baker Mayfield. He hit this number last week in his first game back, and that was particularly impressive considering they didn't really need him in the 2nd half. I expect the Panthers to push back enough offensively to keep Evans involved in the Bucs air attack.

    Pick Made: Nov 29, 5:13 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsChuba Hubbard Over 85.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +29
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    You attack the Bucs with the RB, and the Panthers have one the better duel threat runners in the league. Hubbard will get no shortage of touches here, he is 3rd in the NFL in second-half rushing yards and he can turn a screen pass into a big gain. He 47 touches in 2 games vs the Bucs last season in a far worse offense and went over 100 scrimmage yards in one of those games. Wouldn't be surprised to see him run for over 100 here.

    Pick Made: Nov 28, 8:21 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerChuba Hubbard Anytime Touchdown Scorer +110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +29
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    He is their offense and the emergence of Bryce Young as a competent passer has allowed him a little more space to operate. He is their unquestioned drive finisher and has scored in 7 of the last 9 games, with 8 total TDs in that span. Bucs have allowed 9 TDs to RBs already this season. He can win in space in the screen game and the Bucs rushing D is soft.

    Pick Made: Nov 28, 8:18 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerCade Otton Anytime Touchdown Scorer +195
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +29
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Panthers cannot defend TEs in tight spaces and Baker Mayfield loves feeding this guy and he will be a problem in the slot. Even with Mike Evans back, Otton is still a funnel in special situations (third down and RZ). Panthers have allowed 9 TDs to TEs this season - 3 more than any team - and 7 in the past 5 games alone.

    Pick Made: Nov 28, 8:14 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Passing TouchdownsBaker Mayfield Over 1.5 Total Passing Touchdowns -125
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +29
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Panthers have allowed 21 passing TDs through 11 games - you do the math. It's a bad secondary and Baker has a shot to lead the NFL in passing TDs. He is 3 off the lead and has 24 in 11 games. He hasn't gone 3 games without hitting this all season and has just 1 in his last 2 games. Bucs scored 4 easy rushing TDs last week. I don't see that happening again here and the Panthers are far more vulnerable to passing TDs. Had hot in 3 straight road games prior to last week.

    Pick Made: Nov 28, 8:10 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsBucky Irving Over 76.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +277
    14-10 in Last 24 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    In his last six games, the rookie Irving is over this number in five of them, averaging 15 touches and 90 yards per game. Now he faces the league's worst rushing defense in a game where Tampa Bay should see positive game script. This number looks ten yards too low to me...

    Pick Made: Nov 28, 7:33 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadTampa Bay -5.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1192
    22-11-1 in Last 34 NFL Picks
    +832
    35-25-1 in Last 61 NFL ATS Picks
    +121
    3-2 in Last 5 CAR ATS Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Bucs are 12-2 ATS on the road the last two seasons, covering on average by a ridiculous 7.54 points. The next best team is GB at 4.18. That's crazy. Bucs are healthier on offense and while the Panthers are improved, they are also still limited. Bucs have covered 6 of 8 vs CAR and 8 of 12 and 10 of 16. Panthers have 8 losses of 6 points or more. Bucs have covered in 4 of the last 5 at Carolina (all by 4.5 points or more) and are 7-3 ATS in last 10 there, covering by 10.5 points on average.

    Pick Made: Nov 26, 10:04 pm UTC on FanDuel

    Team Injuries

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
    Avatar
    CB
    Troy Hill
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Mike Evans
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Anthony Nelson
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Tristan Wirfs
    FootQuestionable
    Monday, Dec 02, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Joe Tryon-Shoyinka
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Tykee Smith
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Bucky Irving
    HipQuestionable
    Sunday, Dec 01, 2024
    Avatar
    SAF
    Mike Edwards
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    K.J. Britt
    AnkleQuestionable
    Carolina Panthers
    Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
    Avatar
    ILB
    Josey Jewell
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    D.J. Wonnum
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Caleb Farley
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Monday, Dec 02, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    Ja'Tavion Sanders
    NeckQuestionable
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