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Sun, Dec 016:00 pm UTCEverBank Stadium
57 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Houston
Texans
HOU
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-5
ATS5-8
O/U4-9-0
FINAL SCORE
23
-
20
Jacksonville
Jaguars
JAC
Last 5 ATS
W/L2-10
ATS7-5
O/U7-5-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
8-5
Win /Loss
2-10
5-8
Spread
7-5
4-9-0
Over / Under
7-5-0
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
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SAF
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S
Avatar
DT
Key Injuries
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G
Avatar
P
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LS
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
HOU @ JAC
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
HOU @ JAC
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OVER / UNDER
HOU @ JAC
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81%
PUBLIC
19%
MONEY
94%
PUBLIC
6%
MONEY
Over78%
PUBLIC
Under22%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Total Away PointsHouston Over 23.5 Total Pts -135
LOSS
Unit1.0
+6
3-2 in Last 5 NFL Team Props Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

Jacksonville has one of the worst defenses in the NFL, allowing an average of 28.7 points per game this season. The Texans have talent all over the field, and are in a spot where I expect them to come out firing. I expect 27+ points for Houston here.

Pick Made: Sun 5:31 pm UTC on Sugar House
Point SpreadHouston -3 -115
PUSH
Unit1.0
+1157
85-68-2 in Last 155 NFL Picks
+538.5
21-14-2 in Last 37 NFL ATS Picks
+88
2-1-1 in Last 4 HOU ATS Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

The Texans should come out firing after their loss to the lowly Titans last week. The rosters here aren't really comparable, and the culture DeMeco Ryans has built in Houston dwarfs what's going on in Jacksonville. The Jags' defense is among the worst in the NFL, and Houston should have no issues scoring. I expect a nice bounce back for the Texans here.

Pick Made: Sun 5:27 pm UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadHouston -3 -115
PUSH
Unit1.0
+1482
52-34-3 in Last 89 NFL Picks
+1382
51-34-3 in Last 88 NFL ATS Picks
+320
21-16-3 in Last 40 HOU ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

Admittedly apprehensive here with the Texans, who seem unable to cover when I pick them. Simply put, this is not the team that was promised ahead of the season when it was thought Houston could go on a run in Year 2 under C.J. Stroud. Against this Jaguars team, though? Trevor Lawrence is back, but it’s not like Jacksonville was beating anyone of significance with him. The Jags also had the bye, but Doug Peterson does not win off the bye, and his defense is still the worst in the NFL. The only way to stop Houston is to get in front of Joe Mixon. That might happen for a half but not the game. With -3 available, I’m playing the better team. Period.

Pick Made: Sun 5:22 pm UTC on Caesars
1st Quarter Total Points1st Quarter Under 9.5 -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+165
5-4 in Last 9 NFL Game Props Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

The Texans are coming off an inexcusable loss to the Titans, so I expect a very inspired effort here from Houston. The Jaguars have had all kinds of issues on both sides of the ball, but they have been particularly disappointing on offense. This is a spot where I expect the teams to trade punts early, with 6-7 points scored in the first quarter.

Pick Made: Sun 5:12 pm UTC on Sugar House
Avatar
Total Passing TouchdownsC.J. Stroud Over 1.5 Total Passing Touchdowns +108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+29
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Teams have figured out that if you take Joe Mixon away, you stop the Texans offense. But the Jags pass defense is awful and they get no pass rush and this is a great bounce-back spot for Stroud. Nico Collins looks better every week and Stroud has 2 TDs passes in all 3 career games vs JAX and the Jags have allowed a staggering 23 TDS passes already this season (31st), and this prop has hit in 7 of the last 9 games against them.

Pick Made: Nov 28, 7:52 pm UTC on FanDuel
Total Away PointsHouston Over 23.5 Total Pts -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+90
3-2 in Last 5 NFL Team Props Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Everything here depends on whether Trevor Lawrence is able to play or not, but I expect the Texans offense to score a bunch either way. That unit has struggled lately aside from the Dallas game, but the Jaguars are the perfect opponent to get right against, ranking 32nd in net yards per pass attempt and letting every competent offense get to 400+ yards and usually score a bunch of points. Houston scored 24 in the first meeting with Joe Mixon and Tank Dell missing the game, and they should top that with those guys back.

Pick Made: Nov 26, 12:57 am UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Houston Texans
Monday, Dec 02, 2024
Avatar
DT
Foley Fatukasi
FootQuestionable
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SAF
Jalen Pitre
PectoralQuestionable
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WR
Xavier Hutchinson
ShoulderQuestionable
Sunday, Dec 01, 2024
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SAF
Jimmie Ward
HeadQuestionable
Avatar
S
Eric Murray
HandQuestionable
Jacksonville Jaguars
Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
Avatar
G
Brandon Scherff
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
P
Logan Cooke
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
LS
Ross Matiscik
HamstringQuestionable
Monday, Dec 02, 2024
Avatar
LB
Yasir Abdullah
HamstringQuestionable
Sunday, Dec 01, 2024
Avatar
CB
Tyson Campbell
ThighQuestionable
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