Those three Colts receivers who were listed as questionable all will play. QB Anthony Richardson also returns, although that Indy offense has largely looked better with Joe Flacco under center. Miami is without two defensive starters in linebacker Emmanuel Ogbah and safety Jevón Holland. Still obviously no Tua for the Fins, who are averaging just 12.0 PPG, 17.2 points fewer than last season. That would be the second-highest decrease in PPG from one season to the next in NFL history behind the 1925 Cleveland Bulldogs.

Even though we'd rather see veteran Joe Flacco instead of Anthony Richardson at QB for the Colts, the Dolphins minus Tua against a competent opponent are still an auto face at this meager price,

The market is backing the Dolphins early in the week coming off their bye, but I'm going the other way. While I do think that Tyler Huntley could take a step forward with the extra week of prep, I'm still not rating the Dolphins too highly and on the road think they have to catch more than three against a competent Colts team that should have its QB1 and RB1 back for this game. If you're able to buy in to the Colts offense at all, shouldn't this line be closer to the Raiders-Rams matchup at -7? If I'm setting the line, it has to be at least -4.5 and probably a touch higher.