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Sun, Sep 085:00 pm UTCMetLife Stadium
66 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Minnesota
Vikings
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L14-3
ATS11-5
O/U7-9-1
FINAL SCORE
28
-
6
New York
Giants
NYG
Last 5 ATS
W/L3-14
ATS5-12
O/U6-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
14-3
Win /Loss
3-14
11-5
Spread
5-12
7-9-1
Over / Under
6-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIN @ NYG
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIN @ NYG
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OVER / UNDER
MIN @ NYG
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

70%
PUBLIC
30%
MONEY
68%
PUBLIC
32%
MONEY
Over87%
PUBLIC
Under13%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Receiving YardsMalik Nabers Over 61.5 Total Receiving Yards -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+442.5
35-28 in Last 63 NFL Player Props Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

You never truly know how rookies will adjust to life in the NFL, but I love this spot for Nabers. Minnesota's secondary is mediocre, and Nabers is a big play waiting to happen. I expect Nabers to finish with 70+ yards here.

Pick Made: Sep 08, 4:20 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total CarriesDaniel Jones Over 5.5 Total Carries -143
WIN
Unit1.0
+1150
64-45 in Last 109 NFL Player Props Picks
Erik's Analysis:

Jones faces Vikes DC BFlo who is as blitz heavy as they come. This means Jones will have to take off….add in a few designed runs and we should get six.

Pick Made: Sep 08, 3:35 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsDaniel Jones Over 27.5 Total Rushing Yards -110
LOSS
Unit0.5
+1150
64-45 in Last 109 NFL Player Props Picks
Erik's Analysis:

Jones face Vikes DC Brian Flores. BFlo runs a blitz happy scheme which should foce Jones to run. Take attempts and yards over

Pick Made: Sep 08, 3:34 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineMinnesota -120
WIN
Unit1.0
Daniel's Analysis:

One of the Giants main concerns in the offseason was rebuilding their horrid offensive line. This new unit will instantly be put to the test, facing Vikings new DC Brian Flores, who is known for his exotic blitz packages. Last season, Daniel Jones finished dead last (42 out of 42) in passer rating against the blitz. Coming off an ACL injury, and now without Saquon Barkley's playmaking in the backfield... Jones could be in for a long day. Flores sends relentless pressure at QB's with his creative schemes. It is odd to see a Sam Darnold-led team favored on the road, but it looks to be the right side.

Pick Made: Sep 08, 1:17 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsDaniel Jones Over 27.5 Total Rushing Yards -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+850.5
18-8 in Last 26 NFL Player Props Picks
Todd's Analysis:

A healthy Daniel Jones is a weapon, with his legs more than his arm. Jones' mobility will come in handy behind a makeshift Giants OL that should expect pressure from Brian Flores' stop unit right from opening kickoff. Back in 2022, Jones ran for over 700 yards and that ability when the pocket broke down created big plays. Combine scrambles with designed QB runs and this number for me is 6-7 yards light in the season opener.

Pick Made: Sep 08, 10:54 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadN.Y. Giants +1.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+252
6-3 in Last 9 NFL Picks
+180
3-1 in Last 4 NFL ATS Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 MIN ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

If the Vikings didn't have bad luck at the QB spot, they wouldn't have any at all. Last season, Kevin O'Connell kept cycling thru QBs after Kirk Cousins went down, and already the Minnesota QB situation was disrupted when Michigan rookie JJ McCarthy was felled by a knee injury. Sam Darnold, on hiss fourth team in as many years, steps into the breach...but how well? Of course, the Giants had a stinker of 2023, much of it falling on the regression of QB Daniel Jones before his knee injury. But Jones was making progress in the preceding 2022 and beat the Vikings in a playoff game at Minneapolis, and some new weapons like LSU wideout Malik Nabers are now in the fold. Play Giants

Pick Made: Sep 08, 8:23 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadMinnesota -1 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+961
33-21-4 in Last 58 NFL Picks
+524
22-15-4 in Last 41 NFL ATS Picks
+619
14-7-1 in Last 22 MIN ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

The Minnesota Vikings have veteran Sam Darnold leading the team with rookie JJ McCarthy out for the year. With all the issues the Vikings had the second half of the season at the quarterback position, the Vikings could be getting decreased attention from oddsmakers in week one. The New York Giants will be better than most anticipate offensively, but expect the rust to show for Daniel Jones who is as turnover prone as any starter in football. Take the Vikings.

Pick Made: Sep 08, 3:59 am UTC on Caesars
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsJustin Jefferson Over 79.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+378
151-121 in Last 272 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Justin Jefferson put up big numbers with backup quarterbacks last season, and you can argue Sam Darnold is an upgrade over them. Jefferson is fully healthy and facing a bad Giants secondary. Look for Darnold to feed him early and often.

Pick Made: Sep 08, 2:17 am UTC on BetMGM
Money LineMinnesota -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+363
5-1 in Last 6 NFL ML Picks
+400
4-0 in Last 4 MIN ML Picks
Larry's Analysis:

If Sam Darnold doesn't play well in Kevin O'Connell's offense, with Justin Jefferson and Aaron Jones headlining his weapons, with a strong offensive line protecting him, then he really deserves the criticism he gets. I'm betting he will play well, definitely better than Daniel Jones will in this matchup. Brian Flores' blitzing scheme is going to cause havoc for Jones, who historically has played worse at home. Minnesota made a lot of smart offseason acquisitions (Jonathan Greenard, Jones, Blake Cashman) and that will show up Sunday.

Pick Made: Sep 06, 8:32 pm UTC on Sugar House
Point SpreadN.Y. Giants +1.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+241
8-5 in Last 13 NFL Picks
+80
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+400
4-0 in Last 4 MIN ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

Following an unexpected breakout season, the Giants took just as stunning of a step back las season, beset by crippling injuries on both sides of the ball and some questionable coaching decisions. The public is down on the team and QB Daniel Jones following their appearance on "Hard Knocks" but the Vikings have their own issues. They have a dangerous set of offensive weapons but issues at QB with journeyman Sam Darnold at the helm and what should be a below-average defense. Look for the Giants to take advantage of a winnable matchup.

Pick Made: Sep 05, 9:55 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Passing InterceptionsSam Darnold Over 0.5 Total Passing Interceptions -127
WIN
Unit0.25
+314
48-32 in Last 80 NFL Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Minnesota's Sam Darnold doesn't exactly have a good history as a starting quarterback at MetLife Stadium in his NFL career -- and you know he's going to be hearing jeers all day Sunday even if it's Giants and not Jets fans. The Giants were among the NFL leaders last year in picks with 18.

Pick Made: Sep 04, 9:07 pm UTC on Sugar House
Over / UnderUnder 41.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1879
45-24-1 in Last 70 NFL Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 NYG O/U Picks
Emory's Analysis:

In this game the biggest question to ask yourself is, whether or not you think the Giants can find the end zone? There's no doubt that they can get into Graham Gano range a few times, but finding paydirt will be tough vs a defense that can apply pressure going up against a QB who struggles vs pressure.

Pick Made: Sep 04, 12:42 pm UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadMinnesota -1 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+222.75
18-13 in Last 31 NFL Picks
+189
3-1 in Last 4 MIN ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

I make the Vikings -3.4 road favorites against Daniel Jones and the Giants. Sam Darnold is a nice upgrade at quarterback from last season and has a negligible impact on the spread compared to Kirk Cousins (0.3 points in the model). Brian Flores will have the Vikings' defense prepared for Daniel Jones and rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers. The Giants lack a strong home-field advantage, which works in favor of the Vikings

Pick Made: Sep 03, 1:39 pm UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadMinnesota -1 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1421
39-23 in Last 62 NFL Picks
+775
53-41-1 in Last 95 NFL ATS Picks
+2792
63-32-5 in Last 100 MIN ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

I may be underrating the Vikings a bit in my initial power ratings, as I believe Sam Darnold can be a fine leader of the offense with the awesome offensive coach Kevin O'Connell steering the ship. So my -2 rating on Minnesota may quickly rise. Even with that rating, I have this line as Vikings -2 as the Giants look like a team to attack this season. I expect a big day from Darnold here and the Giants offense to struggle to keep up.

Pick Made: Aug 30, 5:50 pm UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Minnesota Vikings
Tuesday, Jan 14, 2025
Avatar
LB
Patrick Jones II
KneeQuestionable
Monday, Jan 13, 2025
Avatar
OT
Brian O'Neill
HeadQuestionable
New York Giants
Monday, Jan 06, 2025
Avatar
CB
Greg Stroman
ShinQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Chris Manhertz
FingerQuestionable
Avatar
C
John Michael Schmitz
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Micah McFadden
NeckQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Evan Neal
RibsQuestionable
Sunday, Jan 05, 2025
Avatar
LB
Ty Summers
UndisclosedQuestionable
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