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    Sat, Jan 209:30 pm UTCM&T Bank Stadium
    25 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Houston
    Texans
    HOU
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L11-8
    ATS10-8
    O/U7-11-1
    FINAL SCORE
    10
    -
    34
    Baltimore
    Ravens
    BAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L14-5
    ATS12-7
    O/U8-10-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    11-8
    Win /Loss
    14-5
    10-8
    Spread
    12-7
    7-11-1
    Over / Under
    8-10-1
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    SAF
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    SS
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    OT
    Key Injuries
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    OG
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    WR
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    LB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    HOU @ BAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    HOU @ BAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    HOU @ BAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    52%
    PUBLIC
    48%
    MONEY
    37%
    PUBLIC
    63%
    MONEY
    Over60%
    PUBLIC
    Under40%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding

    Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Over / UnderOver 43.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +99
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 HOU O/U Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    The Ravens averaged more than 37 points per game over their past four meaningful contests (Week 18 excluded) while showing an explosive offense that appears to be peaking. Houston can't be expected to duplicate last week's 45 points, but will do enough to help send this game Over the total.

    Pick Made: Jan 20, 8:46 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsIsaiah Likely Over 37.5 Total Receiving Yards -133
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1770.5
    67-39 in Last 106 NFL Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    Mark Andrews is out so let’s ride the position that simply puts up the right numbers. Add in the fact Houston is not great v the TE and bingo

    Pick Made: Jan 20, 8:16 pm UTC
    Point SpreadBaltimore -9.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2094
    82-55-8 in Last 145 NFL ATS Picks
    +669
    19-11-2 in Last 32 HOU ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    At this time of year, we’re picking every game the rest of the way regardless of the level of our convictions. It’s the NFL playoffs, come on. Statistically, the Ravens stack up as a legitimately dominant team, and they are the best defense in the NFL against the deep ball, which is C.J. Stroud’s specialty and how he has taken out so many teams this season. The Texans have been solid stopping the run, but the Lamar Jackson element makes that task more difficult, especially given Houston struggles to stop play action. Houston is banged up while Baltimore is rested and home, plus the experience of John Harbaugh and his staff is a factor. Even if the Texans hang around, the Ravens should pull away.

    Pick Made: Jan 20, 8:06 pm UTC
    Point SpreadHouston +9.5 -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +917
    83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
    +362
    26-20 in Last 46 NFL ATS Picks
    +2122
    39-16-1 in Last 56 BAL ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Half of the six underdogs on wild card weekend won straight-up, which makes the case for a wide-open playoffs. Houston showed it belonged by ravaging Cleveland and its top-rated defense. QB C.J. Stroud can no longer be viewed as a rookie. Even as his receiving corps has been thinned out by injuries, Stroud has excelled and figures to keep the Texans in contention for most, if not all, of this matchup. Houston emerged surprisingly healthy from the win, while the Ravens must fill big shoes that belong to ailing TE Mark Andrews. Baltimore tends to allow big 'dogs to hang in, having covered just once in the past 10 scenarios when favored by seven-plus points.

    Pick Made: Jan 20, 7:46 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsIsaiah Likely Over 36.5 Total Receiving Yards -133
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +515
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    It's a solid matchup for Likely against the Texans defense who don't do a great job limiting TE yardage. Matchups aside, with Mark Andrews out Likely has been great surpassing this total in 5 games in a row (I'm not counting Week 18 which was led by backup QB Tyler Huntley). Even with Zay Flowers and Odell on the field, I think we could see Likely lead this team in targets and I like him sailing over this number.

    Pick Made: Jan 20, 6:53 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerGus Edwards Anytime Touchdown Scorer -105
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Matt's Analysis:

    Are you aware that Lamar Jackson has "only" five rushing TDs this season? Perhaps the Ravens are simply trying to keep LJ from those extra hits at the goal line. Edwards had 13 rushing TDs in the regular season and scored in three straight until the meaningless finale.

    Pick Made: Jan 20, 5:12 pm UTC
    Point SpreadBaltimore -9.5 -108
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +739
    47-36-4 in Last 87 NFL ATS Picks
    +500
    5-0 in Last 5 BAL ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    All due respect to the Texans and CJ Stroud, who became a legit and dangerous NFL QB not long after opening week at Baltimore. Underestimating the Texans has proven risky, as they reminded once again last week vs. the Browns. And the playoff history of Lamar Jackson has hardly been stellar on the Baltimore side. But it's also three years since Jackson participated in the playoffs, and this Ravens edition demolished several competent teams this season at M&T Bank Stadium. The schedule also broke mostly well for Houston, and we can't get the vision of the Texans getting bullied at MetLife against the rugged Jets in similar tough conditions in December. Baltimore is one favored team we don't mind backing this weekend. Play Ravens

    Pick Made: Jan 20, 4:49 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsNico Collins Under 77.5 Total Receiving Yards -103
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Nico Collins has emerged as a true No. 1 receiver, but Mike McDonald's defense will be ready to limit him. The Ravens allow an NFL-low 5.1 yards per pass attempt, and the conditions won't be ideal. Go Under.

    Pick Made: Jan 19, 10:08 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsNico Collins Under 77.5 Total Receiving Yards -103
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    Kenny's Analysis:

    Baltimore pass defense is #1 in the NFL allowing just 5.1 yards per pass. The weather will also hamper the passing game with winds around 15-20 and temperatures in the low 20's. Play this one for 2 units.

    Pick Made: Jan 19, 9:28 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsDevin Singletary Over 59.5 Total Rushing Yards -127
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Kenny's Analysis:

    Baltimore's pass defense is so good and the weather willl be horrible so Houston will have no other choice but to run the football.

    Pick Made: Jan 19, 9:19 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsC.J. Stroud Under 238.5 Total Passing Yards -101
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    Kenny's Analysis:

    The weather and Baltimore's defense are two great reasons to go under. The weather will be in the low 20's with 10-20 mph winds on a grass field.

    Pick Made: Jan 19, 9:17 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsNico Collins Under 77.5 Total Receiving Yards -103
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +845.5
    74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    This isn't pleasant as I've backed Nico Collins quite a bit this season. That being said this is as tough of a matchup as there is against a Ravens pass defense that is the best in the league. Baltimore ranks top three in EPA allowed per dropback, coverage grade, dropback success %, explosive pass %, and theyve been extremely stingy against 1st reads all season. Then you factor in this game is outdoors in cold weather and Houston really lacks another viable WR since Tank Dell has been on the shelf. The Ravens will allocate a lot of resources to slowing down Collins and possess the personnel and scheme to do so effectively.

    Pick Made: Jan 19, 8:23 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsIsaiah Likely Over 37.5 Total Receiving Yards -128
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +327
    15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    This line is climbing with Mark Andrews most likely out. Outside of Week 18, Isaiah Likely has eclipsed this number in five straight games and is averaging almost four receptions. The Browns tight ends were the only players who found a lot of success against this Houston defense last week, and I expect similar success for Likely. Our Sportsline Model projects 52 yards.

    Pick Made: Jan 19, 7:43 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsIsaiah Likely Over 38.5 Total Receiving Yards -128
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Matt's Analysis:

    With Mark Andrews still out in perhaps a minor surprise, this seems like (pun intended) a no-brainer play and probably only gets higher. Likely was +225 for anytime TD but dropped to +180 after the Andrews news. Our model has Likely with 52 yards or so.

    Pick Made: Jan 19, 6:19 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerIsaiah Likely Anytime Touchdown Scorer +225
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Will's Analysis:

    It's looking more and more ...... likely that we don't get Mark Andrews in the Divisional Round, which means the backup tight end for Baltimore is going to be the starter again. Likely has been awesome for the Ravens in Andrews' absence and this price is too good to pass up.

    Pick Made: Jan 19, 4:32 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsZay Flowers Over 49.5 Total Receiving Yards -101
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    With its current stable of running backs, Baltimore would be better off letting its MVP quarterback throw it all over the field on Saturday. Sure, the weather may not be perfect, but Lamar Jackson has been the league's most effective mid-range passer this year and the Texans can bleed yards to opposing pass catchers. Last weekend, Cleveland had four players over this number. Flowers also had 60 or more yards in three of his last four regular season games and a 9-78-0 line against Houston in Week 1. Expect a similar productive output in Baltimore's first playoff game on Saturday.

    Pick Made: Jan 18, 11:32 pm UTC
    1st Half Spread1st Half Baltimore -6.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Ravens are super-fresh (hopefully not rusty) and should come out with yet another excellent first half. While they've blown some leads, the Ravens have been dominant in the first half, covering 14 of 17 times while allowing an NFL-low 7.0 points. Look for Baltimore to lead at the break by at least a touchdown.

    Pick Made: Jan 18, 9:27 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsZay Flowers Over 47.5 Total Receiving Yards -101
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    James's Analysis:

    With Mark Andrews sidelined, Flowers emerged as Lamar Jackson's top target. Andrews may (or may not) return to action on Saturday, but I still like Flowers to go over here. The speedy wide receiver averaged 53.6 receiving yards per game during the regular season, and I have him projected to finish above 60 yards in this game. Take the over.

    Pick Made: Jan 18, 8:20 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUnder 43.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1464
    25-10 in Last 35 NFL Picks
    +480
    6-2 in Last 8 NFL O/U Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    This total opened at 46, and early money has come in heavily on the Under. The number does seem suspiciously low, considering the Texans just dropped 45 points themselves against the Browns. However, Texans QB CJ Stroud has been able to thrive in indoor dome stadium environments. He will now head to frosty Baltimore, where game time temperatures are expected to be below 30 degrees, with 10+ MPH winds. This Ravens secondary is elite, and if the Texans cannot establish a ground game, Stroud might be stuck in "3rd and long" all game. Houston's defense is good against the run, and I expect them to play their safeties deep to take away the big plays. These factors will suppress scoring.

    Pick Made: Jan 18, 6:39 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsC.J. Stroud Under 238.5 Total Passing Yards -101
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +327
    15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    The Wild card matchup is skewing this line. As we've mentioned, the Browns defense on the road was one of the worst in the league and they played like they never scouted CJ Stroud. He only had 21 pass attempts and this team has been 50/50 pass:rush down the stretch. The Texans have had success with this, avoiding costly turnovers and playing conservative. If it’s close, then Houston will stick with pass/rush balance and avoid costly turnovers. If it’s a Ravens blowout, it will likely be because of a lot of three and outs by the Houston offense.

    Pick Made: Jan 18, 5:10 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsDevin Singletary Over 58.5 Total Rushing Yards -127
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +327
    15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    As strong as the Ravens defense is, they pick their battles. They focus on their secondary forcing turnovers, and they focus on the pass rush. Which is exactly what you want to do when you are defending a quarterback like CJ Stroud. But where they end up "sacrificing" is their run defense. They allow 4.5 YPC this season and over 119 yards on the ground overall, which is significantly higher than last year. Devin Singletary has gone over this total in 5 of his last 6 games. With Stroud's first outdoor game in quite some time and poor weather conditions, look for Singletary to get a lot of action.

    Pick Made: Jan 18, 5:05 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOver 43.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2338.5
    59-32 in Last 91 NFL Picks
    +422
    13-8 in Last 21 NFL O/U Picks
    +400
    4-0 in Last 4 HOU O/U Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Neither team hit 270 yards when they met Week 1, but they've evolved majorly since then. Texans stink against the pass and have one elite corner and a lot of question marks back there. Lamar Jackson and CJ Stroud are airing it out and scoring fast. Ravens average 32 PPG at home and their average home total was 49.7, over 7 points higher than their average close. Texans quick-strike attack can find weak spots in Ravens coverage - especially in middle of field. Stroud won't flinch, though his road splits give me some pause. Ravens scoring at home vs playoff teams w/Lamar: 56, 37, 31, 38, 25 (Week 1 vs Hou). Ravens Last 6 game totals at home w/Lamar: 75, 68, 54, 64, 40, 44.

    Pick Made: Jan 17, 12:57 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsLamar Jackson Over 53.5 Total Rushing Yards -119
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Lamar Jackson has run at least 9 times for 54 yards in his last three playoff games. He will have the Texans on their heels with his ascendant play action passing and there will be running lanes when he decides to take off. He's averaged 9 rushes for 54 yards at home this season, and many of those games were blowouts where lets didn't have to activate. His longest rushes of the season came down the stretch fighting for the 1 seed, and he's won't be looking to quickly slide here. Even non-running QBs usually get a playoff spike. Without his two fastest/most elusive backs due to injury, in a must win game, I think he goes over this with relative ease

    Pick Made: Jan 16, 6:10 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsDalton Schultz Over 36.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Ravens pass D is elite ... except in the middle of the field, where their zones have been picked apart by some TE (and some mediocre ones at that). Texans OC Bobby Slowik came from SF, he will pay close attention to the SF film vs BAL, and Ravens had no answers for George Kittle in that game. Ravens 3rd and long D especially vulnerable to TEs. TEs like Smythe, Hudson, Everrett, McBride, Njoku (pre-Flacco) have sailed over this vs BAL in 2nd half of season. Schultz has 42+ in 4 of last 5 road games and is over this in 4 of the last 5 overall. Seam routes are a problem for Ravens as great as this defense is

    Pick Made: Jan 16, 5:58 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing TouchdownsLamar Jackson Over 1.5 Total Passing Touchdowns -108
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Lamar threw 14 TD passes in eight home games and in 8 starts against playoff teams threw 16 TDs. This has become a heavy early-down passing team, the threat of run makes play action extremely dangerous and they are selling play action way more now under center. He's hit this in 3 straight home games (where his protection is much better) with 10 total in that span. From Week 11-17 (he sat Week 18), Lamar was 3rd with 14 TD passes. Texans led NFL only allowing 17 in regular season, but this is a unique QB who puts so much torque on a defense with his legs, arm and mind and I expect him to thrive on the big stag in a new offense.

    Pick Made: Jan 16, 5:19 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsLamar Jackson Over 225.5 Total Passing Yards -115
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Ravens are all about taking shots early in games, on early downs, in play action. First and second down are throwing downs and this Texans defense is begging to get thrown on. LJ averages 9.77 air yards/att at home and 255 yards/G. Weather forecast doesn't look crazy windy. Texans were 27th in YPA allowed, and barely blitzed this season; if they chose to attack that way, it will be new to them. From Week 10-17 Lamar's 13 completions of 30+ yard were 4th, leads the NFL with 119.8 rating on 1st down, 2nd at 10.1 YPA, 6th in att, 2nd in TDs, 1st in 1st down/play action dropbacks. This ain't same ol BAL offense. Lamar averages over 9 YPA vs playoff teams.

    Pick Made: Jan 16, 4:31 pm UTC
    Point SpreadBaltimore -8.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +836
    25-16-4 in Last 45 HOU ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    Baltimore dominated the first game before we knew how good both teams were, and there's an argument that the market underrated the Ravens more despite the Texans' bigger outperformance of their projections. The Ravens have been historically great this season, and they've secured big wins against elite pass offenses like the 49ers and Dolphins. The Texans defense hasn't faced an offense that finished higher than 14th in yards per play since that Week 1 Ravens game, so they come into this difficult spot incredibly untested. Expect the Ravens offense to deliver a big performance, and the Texans will struggle to keep up in such a tough environment.

    Pick Made: Jan 16, 1:38 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Houston Texans
    Monday, Apr 01, 2024
    Avatar
    SAF
    Jimmie Ward
    QuadricepsQuestionable
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    SS
    Eric Murray
    KneeQuestionable
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    WR
    Noah Brown
    ShoulderQuestionable
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    OT
    Tytus Howard
    KneeQuestionable
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    SAF
    Grayland Arnold
    CalfQuestionable
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    CB
    Lonnie Johnson
    KneeQuestionable
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    FB
    Troy Hairston II
    BackQuestionable
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    DE
    Dylan Horton
    PersonalQuestionable
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    C
    Jarrett Patterson
    Lower LegQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Del'Shawn Phillips
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Kilian Zierer
    AnkleQuestionable
    Tuesday, Mar 05, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Laremy Tunsil
    KneeQuestionable
    Monday, Feb 12, 2024
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    SAF
    M.J. Stewart
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    G
    Kendrick Green
    Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Tank Dell
    Lower LegQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Teagan Quitoriano
    GroinQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Kenyon Green
    Shoulder - LabrumQuestionable
    Baltimore Ravens
    Monday, Apr 01, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Tylan Wallace
    KneeQuestionable
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    CB
    Jalyn Armour-Davis
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Malik Hamm
    AnkleQuestionable
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    CB
    Damarion Williams
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Monday, Feb 12, 2024
    Avatar
    OG
    Andrew Vorhees
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
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    LB
    David Ojabo
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
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    RB
    Keaton Mitchell
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Friday, Feb 02, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Odafe Oweh
    ThumbQuestionable