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    Fri, Dec 221:15 am UTCSoFi Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    New Orleans
    Saints
    NO
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L9-8
    ATS6-10
    O/U6-11-0
    FINAL SCORE
    22
    -
    30
    Los Angeles
    Rams
    LAR
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L10-7
    ATS10-6
    O/U9-8-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    9-8
    Win /Loss
    10-7
    6-10
    Spread
    10-6
    6-11-0
    Over / Under
    9-8-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    DE
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    RB
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    CB
    Key Injuries
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    TE
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    CB
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    OG
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    NO @ LAR
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    NO @ LAR
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    NO @ LAR
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    26%
    PUBLIC
    74%
    MONEY
    29%
    PUBLIC
    71%
    MONEY
    Over79%
    PUBLIC
    Under21%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding

    Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total CarriesKyren Williams Over 18.5 Total Carries -133
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    I think Stafford could carve up an overrated Saints secondary and throw for 400 yards if that's how Sean McVay rolled. But it's not and that approach would surprise me and I think he rides his young and spry RB here and then enjoys a long layoff. Williams got over 20 touches in his first game back from an injury layoff. He got 20+ last week when McVay could have chucked it all game on a Commandos secondary that is way worse than NE. But Saints can't stop the run and I could see 35+ total carries for LA (which scares me off Stafford gross numbers) with 20-22 of them going to their bell cow, WIlliams

    Pick Made: Dec 22, 12:54 am UTC
    Point SpreadL.A. Rams -4 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2094
    82-55-8 in Last 145 NFL ATS Picks
    +825
    37-26 in Last 63 NO ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    The Rams and Saints are both attempting to make playoff pushes as the season wraps up, but from watching both teams, it feels like New Orleans' improvement is being a bit exaggerated after wins over the lowly Panthers and Giants. The defense is solid but faces a huge step up in competition as Los Angeles has gotten healthy with Cooper Kupp finally back near 100%. The Rams should jump ahead early behind Sean McVay's scripting, and the Saints will likely have trouble catching up. Look for big games from Kupp and Kyren Williams. LA is on a 4-0 ATS streak, which would be 5-0 save for a single point.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 9:05 pm UTC
    Point SpreadNew Orleans +4.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +907
    19-9 in Last 28 NFL Picks
    +527
    12-6 in Last 18 NFL ATS Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    Both teams are in the thick of the playoff hunt. The Rams are playing their best football of the season. New Orleans is off back-to-back wins against two of the worst teams in the league. However, the Saints have an above average secondary, who hasn’t allowed a touchdown in the last two weeks, to battle with Los Angeles’ receivers. Also, primetime divisional favorites off two or more consecutive ATS wins are 0-14 ATS when line is less than five.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 8:15 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsChris Olave Over 4.5 Total Receptions -152
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1770.5
    67-39 in Last 106 NFL Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    When he plays full games he is their best and most productive receiver. This number is low, I expect and project 6 catches.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 7:19 pm UTC
    Point SpreadNew Orleans +4 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1209.5
    67-51-5 in Last 123 NFL Picks
    +85
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +152
    8-6-1 in Last 15 NO ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    Although it's been far from pretty, the Saints have grinded their way to back-to-back wins on the heels of a three-game skid. Granted, there's not a lot to celebrate in beating the Panthers and Giants. But the New Orleans defense has looked solid in giving up just 12 total points in those games, and its plodding offense will benefit from the return of WR Chris Olave. The Rams have won four of five but have benefited from mostly meager competition. New Orleans is still in the thick of the division and wild-card races, and should at least do enough to cover the number.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 5:12 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsTaysom Hill Over 17.5 Total Rushing Yards -128
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +230
    4-2 in Last 6 NFL Player Props Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    Hill is characterized as a "Swiss army knife" type of player. He is used in a variety of schemes as a bruising runner who will put his head down and fight for yards. Last week, Hill saw very little action. The Saints blew out the Giants, and Hill was dealing with a foot and hand injury. He comes into this game with no injury designation. Playing on a short week on the road in primetime, I imagine the Saints will look to use him to control possession and dictate tempo. Hill has 4 games this season in which he has cleared 50 rushing yards. If Hill is featured early on, this rush yards line at 17.5 might look like a misprint

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 4:54 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsAlvin Kamara Over 32.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +327
    15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    Alvin Kamara's receiving yards are up this season. The over is 9-2, and he averages over 41 yards despite -11 yards two weeks ago. This line feels like it's based off his 32 yard average last season. Act now on this before it creeps up even more.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 3:50 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsPuka Nacua Over 61.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +327
    15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    There's still enough love to share even with Cooper Kupp back. While Puka Nacua's yardage dropped almost 50%, his target share only dropped 16%. The Rams are averaging 277 passing yards in 3 games with all 3 weapons playing. Stafford’s prop line is around 250 yards and Nacua should be good for >25% of those receiving yards. The Sportsline Model makes the number 76.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 3:41 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsA.T. Perry Over 13.5 Total Receiving Yards -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +327
    15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    We're not asking for much volume here. A.T. Perry averages 21.9 yards per reception, so we're potentially looking for one catch here. The fact that targets didn’t jump with Chris Olave out last week makes me feel more secure that his role is clear and defined, as in two targets. Since actually having a role, Perry has recorded 38, 7, 30, 44, and 34 yards.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 3:29 pm UTC
    Point SpreadL.A. Rams -4 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1053
    63-44-2 in Last 109 NFL Picks
    +781
    19-10-2 in Last 31 NFL ATS Picks
    +200
    2-0-1 in Last 3 LAR ATS Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    The Rams are healthy on both sides of the ball and are coming in with some impressive wins and impressive losses. Since their Week 10 bye they've won 4 of 5 games and their lone loss is in overtime at Baltimore. The Saints sport the same record as the Rams, but they have largely beaten up on bottom feeders. This has resulted in a statistical profile, particularly on defense, that is largely fraudulent.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 2:24 pm UTC
    Point SpreadNew Orleans +4.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +739
    47-36-4 in Last 87 NFL ATS Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 LAR ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    The Rams have a bit of a menacing look about them right now after wins in four of the past five games, and Matthew Stafford on song at QB. But a quick inspection of the damage shows some very beatable foes like recent Rams patsies Seahawks and Cardinals, the Browns with Joe Flacco making his first start after just signing, and Washington, which made a late rally behind Jacoby Brissett. Expect the Saints to play with purpose, fighting to stay in the lead in the NFC South and also to keep their wild hopes alive. Though only facing the Panthers and Giants, the D allowed only six points in each of the past two game. Play Saints

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 9:42 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsChris Olave Over 61.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    WIN
    Unit1.5
    +845.5
    74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Saints HC Dennis Allen has confirmed that Chris Olave is expected to suit up for TNF. While it's been an up down season on paper for the sophomore wideout, Olave has been excellent and his underlying metrics are especially impressive. Olave ranks in the top 90th percentile in air yard share, target share, weighted opportunity rating, first read targets, ESPN's open score etc. Now he gets to face a Rams pass defense that ranks nearly dead last in PFF's coverage grade. LA's offense possesses enough firepower to force the Saints in increased passing volume. This checks all the boxes for a potential spike week for Olave.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 6:03 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Tackles Plus AssistsDemario Davis Over 6.5 Total Tackles Plus Assists -154
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Saints middle linebacker Demario Davis is 34 but playing at an extremely high level. He's the team's highest-graded defender and best tackler, per PFF, and has missed only six tackles all season. Davis is coming off a monster game vs. the Giants: 10 tackles, two for loss, including a sack. He has 60 tackles over his last seven games, clearing this prop total five times. I'm expecting a Rams gameplan that features the run and short passing. That should give Davis ample opportunity to record seven-plus combined tackles.

    Pick Made: Dec 21, 5:40 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsKyren Williams Over 88.5 Total Rushing Yards -123
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Kyren Williams is on an insane tear since returning from an ankle injury four games ago. He's gained 143, 88, 114 and 152 rushing yards while being heavily featured by Sean McVay. The Saints shut down Saquon Barkley last week, but they didn't have to worry about the Giants' passing game. In this matchup, New Orleans must defend Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp and Puca Nacua. New Orleans has allowed 4.8 yards per carry over its last three games and ranks 27th in explosive rushing plays allowed this season.

    Pick Made: Dec 20, 5:57 pm UTC
    Point SpreadL.A. Rams -4 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL ATS Picks
    +655
    21-13 in Last 34 NO ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    I love the job that Rams coach Sean McVay is doing with this young team. He has them playing extremely well on both sides of the ball. I don't see how the Saints, offensively speaking, will be able to keep pace with the Rams.

    Pick Made: Dec 19, 8:08 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsKyren Williams Over 88.5 Total Rushing Yards -123
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Saints have won their last two in blowout fashion, but both were at home against maybe the league's two worst teams. Even in the first of those wins, they gave up 204 rushing yards to Carolina, continuing a pattern of awful rush defense paired with good pass defense. The Rams are at the point where they can do both well, with Kyren Williams rushing for nearly 500 yards in just four games since returning from IR. He'll get plenty of work here, and the Saints can't afford to load up to stop him with Matthew Stafford slinging the ball around. I expect another 100-yard game from Williams this week.

    Pick Made: Dec 19, 7:18 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Made Field GoalsBlake Grupe Over 1.5 Total Made Field Goals +106
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Saints RZ offense is not good (21st) and they are facing a much-improved defense here. New Orleans has been held to 19 or fewer in three of their last four road games. Grupe is 1st in NFL in FGA on the road (18), making 14 of them in 7 games. He attempted 6 of them in the Saints last road game and has made 2 or more in 5 of 7 on the road. Perfect kicking conditions and offense will likely struggle even more to finish drives on a short week with so little practice time, especially for special situations. Plus, key injury situations with Saints skill players, and a conservative coach who thinks his defense is better than it really is - FGs!

    Pick Made: Dec 19, 4:22 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsCooper Kupp Over 69.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    When Kupp is right physically, you really can't cover him. We aren't that far removed from the days when you could pencil him in for 100+ each week, and he looks like that guy now. Saints have a stout pass D, but struggle against TEs and I see Kupp as a joker TE running those routes and concepts vs New Orleans, even more than Higbee. Kupp is over 110 in the last two and the Saints will have their hands full trying to tamp down the Rams run game, so how much of a two-deep shell can they play? He's back to being a downfield threat, too, and one grab over 25 alone puts us in great shape.

    Pick Made: Dec 19, 4:17 pm UTC
    1st Half Spread1st Half Los Angeles -3 -105
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Jason's Analysis:

    Rams have scored on their opening drive in four straight games, and McVay's early script will be a problem for this defense. Bet they come out road-grading like they did the Ravens. Rams have scored 13+ in the first half in 4 straight and the Saints are 19th in 1st half differential (-21) this season, despite playing mostly awful QBs. Road team on a short week will be a problem for New Orleans. Carr will turn the ball over, especially if he has to play from behind.

    Pick Made: Dec 19, 4:12 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsKyren Williams Over 109.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Rams OL will push around a poor Saints run defense for four quarters and Sean McVay has no qualms about slamming the ball on the ground and preserving Matthew Stafford for the playoffs. I expect him to go over this in rushing yards alone. Saints allowing 4.9/carry since Week 7, 31st in NFL, and Rams average 5.0/carry in 5 games since their bye (5th) and Williams is 4th in carries the last 5 weeks and 2nd in rushing yards (497) and averaging 5.6/carry. Throw in the 2 screen passes he catches a game and I project 115+ scrimmage yards vs this defense.

    Pick Made: Dec 19, 4:07 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsKyren Williams Over 88.5 Total Rushing Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    No reason why Sean McVay won't keep riding this kid. Even with two fumbles last week he kept getting fed the ball despite the Rams being equally equipped to throw it all over the Commanders. Saints pass D has been stout but allow 5.0/carry since midseason and don't let selling out to stop NYG ground game fool you. They can't do that against this 11 Personnel passing attack. Pick your poison. Williams has 21 carries or more in three straight and will go over 100 yards on the ground against this group on a short week.

    Pick Made: Dec 19, 3:23 pm UTC
    Money LineL.A. Rams -198
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +1096
    42-17 in Last 59 NFL ML Picks
    +535
    10-4 in Last 14 NO ML Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    This is simply grabbing it before -200. The Rams have been a completely different team out of their Week 10 bye with a 4-1 record and that lone loss in OT at Baltimore. Likely tough for Saints right tackle Ryan Ramczyk and WR Chris Olave to play after sitting Sunday. Two Rams who sat Sunday, OT Rob Havenstein and WR Tutu Atwell, are expected to play.

    Pick Made: Dec 18, 7:39 pm UTC
    Point SpreadL.A. Rams -4 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2338.5
    59-32 in Last 91 NFL Picks
    +1169
    13-3 in Last 16 NFL ATS Picks
    +289
    3-1 in Last 4 LAR ATS Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    This is essentially a playoff game; I'll take the Super Bowl winner who is a top 5 QB right now over a guy who almost always comes up small in these spots. Carr has just 6 TDs to 3 INTs in 7 road games, and long travel on a short week against a team that should be 5-0 since its bye is a big ask. Saints run D stinks and Rams are as committed and effective road grading as anyone. Too many options in play action off that stuff. Saints pass D looks awesome but Goff and Lawrence are the 2 best QBs they've faced. This is a much tougher challenge. McVay's early-game scripts have been fire and Saints cant play from behind.

    Pick Made: Dec 18, 6:10 pm UTC
    Point SpreadL.A. Rams -4 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2220
    202-150-2 in Last 354 NFL Picks
    +1644
    79-56-2 in Last 137 NFL ATS Picks
    +1081
    38-24 in Last 62 LAR ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Saints' defense dominated the woeful offenses of the Panthers and Giants in New Orleans, but this is another challenge entirely. LA has averaged 6.0 yards per play over its last three games, third-best in the NFL. The Rams are 4-1 since their bye; the loss coming via a punt return in overtime at powerhouse Baltimore. Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp, Puca Nacua and Kyren Williams built a 28-7 lead over Washington early in the fourth quarter Sunday before taking their collective foot off the gas. It was the fourth straight game in which LA scored 28-plus. Lay the points.

    Pick Made: Dec 18, 3:49 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    New Orleans Saints
    Monday, Apr 01, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Alvin Kamara
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Marshon Lattimore
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Landon Young
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    OG
    Nick Saldiveri
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Tuesday, Mar 26, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Ryan Ramczyk
    KneeQuestionable
    Monday, Mar 25, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Cameron Jordan
    AnkleQuestionable
    Tuesday, Mar 19, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Chase Young
    NeckQuestionable
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Nephi Sewell
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Los Angeles Rams
    Monday, Apr 01, 2024
    Avatar
    OG
    Jonah Jackson
    Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Shaun Jolly
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    LS
    Alex Ward
    NeckQuestionable
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    Hunter Long
    Knee - MCLQuestionable
    Avatar
    QB
    Stetson Bennett
    IllnessQuestionable
    Monday, Feb 12, 2024
    Avatar
    CB
    Tre'Davious White
    AchillesQuestionable
    Friday, Jan 19, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    Tyler Higbee
    Knee - ACL + MCLQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Kyren Williams
    HandQuestionable