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Sun, Nov 196:00 pm UTCHard Rock Stadium
75 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Las Vegas
Raiders
LV
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-9
ATS10-6
O/U6-11-0
FINAL SCORE
13
-
20
Miami
Dolphins
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L11-6
ATS10-7
O/U9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
8-9
Win /Loss
11-6
10-6
Spread
10-7
6-11-0
Over / Under
9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
LV @ MIA
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
LV @ MIA
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OVER / UNDER
LV @ MIA
Subscribers Only

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19%
PUBLIC
81%
MONEY
18%
PUBLIC
82%
MONEY
Over66%
PUBLIC
Under34%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderOver 44 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+99
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
+80
3-2 in Last 5 MIA O/U Picks
Josh's Analysis:

The spread has become unplayable at -14, but there's a window of value on a total that has drooped 3 from the opener. The Dolphins have scored no fewer than 31 points in all of their home dates this season, which leaves the Raiders with just a nominal end to hold up.

Pick Made: Nov 19, 4:16 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadMiami -14 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+182
3-1 in Last 4 NFL ATS Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 LV ATS Picks
Will's Analysis:

This is a massive spread and a bit aggressive fading a Las Vegas team that's been quite feisty the last two weeks under Antonio Pierce. The Raiders will have to pass a ton to keep up which means Aidan O'Connell under a ton of pressure for the whole second half against a Vic Fangio defense. Tyreek Hill destroys former division opponents, combining for 20 catches, 372 yards and three touchdowns in earth-scorching performances against the Chargers and Broncos already this year. He's going to dismantle this Raiders defense and Miami will be up multiple scores at the half.

Pick Made: Nov 19, 4:09 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total ReceptionsMichael Mayer Over 2.5 Total Receptions +102
WIN
Unit1.0
+1720
126-88 in Last 214 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Michael Mayer has four or more targets in three of the past five games, and I like going for the plus-money play of Mayer making three catches at Miami. The Dolphins are strong on the perimeter with Jalen Ramsey back, so the Raiders should look to attack the middle of the field. Las Vegas likely will be trailing, increasing the passing volume.

Pick Made: Nov 19, 4:04 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadMiami -14 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+290
4-1 in Last 5 NFL ATS Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 LV ATS Picks
Emory's Analysis:

While 14 points is a lot of points with regards to an NFL point spread, the matchup here dictates that it may not be enough. Las Vegas is starting a rookie QB vs an improving defense in Miami that is coming off of bye with two weeks to prepare. The Raiders won't be able to keep up with the eventual pace of the game.

Pick Made: Nov 19, 3:37 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderOver 45.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jimmie's Analysis:

It's no secret that the Dolphins have one of the NFL's most explosive offenses. Miami has been outstanding at home this season as well, averaging 43.5 points per game at Hard Rock Stadium (it's just under 35 if you throw out the 70-point game against Denver). I expect the Dolphins to score in the mid-30's in this game, meaning the Raiders will only need to score around 14 points for this over to hit.

Pick Made: Nov 19, 5:55 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadLas Vegas +13.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+739
47-36-4 in Last 87 NFL ATS Picks
+672
10-3-1 in Last 14 LV ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

This number has inflated during the week, perhaps because the Raiders don't have the benefit of playing one of the New York teams as in the past two weeks. But Miami has shown this chilling knockout power only on occasion this season and has more often than not been involved in some real scrambled this season. Vegas players seem happy that Josh McDaniels is gone and enthused to play for Antonio Pierce, who wisely has the offense feeding the ball to Josh Jacobs, which can effectively slow the games. Play Raiders

Pick Made: Nov 19, 5:26 am UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadLas Vegas +14 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+917
83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
+362
26-20 in Last 46 NFL ATS Picks
+685
9-2 in Last 11 LV ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Yeah, yeah, Miami has put up some monster numbers at home. Still, the rejuvenated Raiders are 2-0 under interim coach Antonio Pearce, and his slower-placed, rush-minded offense is conducive to creating a relatively low score. The Dolphins are subpar at halting the run, so their potent offense might be stuck for stretches on the sideline. The Under is 8-2 this season for Las Vegas, but the massive two-touchdown spot is a better option.

Pick Made: Nov 18, 4:19 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Point SpreadMiami -12.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2450
202-148-2 in Last 352 NFL Picks
+1754
79-55-2 in Last 136 NFL ATS Picks
+520.5
27-19 in Last 46 MIA ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Raiders pulled off wins over the Giants and Jets, but this is a major step up in class against the Dolphins, who are coming off a bye. Miami has won each of its home games by at least 14 points. Las Vegas ranks 28th against the run (4.6 yards per carry allowed) and is going to get gashed by Raheem Mostert and explosive rookie De'Von Achane, who has been activated from IR.

Pick Made: Nov 17, 7:29 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsJaylen Waddle Over 63.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
LOSS
Unit1.0
+566
36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
Eric's Analysis:

Las Vegas has been pretty good against wide receivers in terms of ceiling games, only allowing Amon-Ra St. Brown to top the 100 yard receiving mark. But there's a prime opportunity for Jaylen Waddle to succeed as a zone buster this week. The Raiders play zone coverage more than 80% of the time and Waddle draws a 23% target share and 34% air yards share against zone. Look for a solid performance from Miami's #2 receiver, who very well could cross the 75 yard receiving mark for the fourth time this season.

Pick Made: Nov 17, 12:23 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadMiami -11.5 -114
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2053
98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Sides Picks
+1733
78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
+546
25-17-1 in Last 43 MIA ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Raiders have won two straight after firing Josh McDaniels, but this is where reality sets in. The offense ranks 29th in yards per play and Aidan O'Connell hasn't shown anything to make us believe he's an upgrade on Jimmy Garoppolo. Instead, the Raiders defense carried both wins against extremely limited offenses, but their matchup swings to the other extreme here. The Dolphins should pick up big chunks in the passing game, and with the Raiders defense ranked 28th in yards per rush, Miami can do the same in the second half with the run game to extend the lead. Vic Fangio's defense should shut down this Raiders attack, and this has all the makings of an easy win.

Pick Made: Nov 15, 12:43 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Las Vegas Raiders
Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025
Avatar
RB
Zamir White
QuadricepsQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Jeff Foreman
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Sincere McCormick
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Jakorian Bennett
ShoulderQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
DT
Christian Wilkins
FootQuestionable
Avatar
DE
Maxx Crosby
AnkleQuestionable
Miami Dolphins
Wednesday, Apr 16, 2025
Avatar
WR
Grant DuBose
HeadQuestionable
Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025
Avatar
LS
Blake Ferguson
IllnessQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Tanner Conner
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
QB
Tua Tagovailoa
HipQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Tahj Washington
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Grayson Murphy
KneeQuestionable
Monday, Mar 03, 2025
Avatar
WR
Tyreek Hill
WristQuestionable
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Avatar
OG
James Daniels
AchillesQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
OLB
Bradley Chubb
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Jordyn Brooks
WristQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Jaelan Phillips
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Cam Smith
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Kion Smith
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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