The Giants are looking to bounce back from an awful showing against Dallas, and facing the league's worst projected team should help. Waller had 36 yards last week despite Giants QBs combining for just 110 passing yards, and he gets a clean bill of health this week. Arizona allowed 43 yards to Logan Thomas in Week 1, and I'd expect Waller to be much better than that as the focal point of the passing game. The Giants' offensive coaching staff is among the best in the league, and they'll create opportunities for their best receiver.

My metrics put the Giants at over 70% to win. There's value at this price. Big Blue will be desperate and motivated against a bad offense and even worse defense.

The Giants were abysmal against an elite defense last week, and teams that lose 40-0 are typically good value because the market overadjusts to the blowout. But the Giants are even bigger favorites than they were on the lookahead (-5). That's despite the Cardinals defense looking pretty good with six sacks and 3.8 yards per play allowed, and with the Giants dealing with injuries to their top two left tackle options, they don't seem likely to score enough to cover a big number on the road. As bad as the Cardinals are, they can cover against limited offenses.

Obviously the Giants aren't as bad as last week's score indicates, but where there are some concerns entering this game is where they had issues against the Cowboys: the offensive line. Quietly, the Cardinals provide a significant challenge on the edge, where the Giants have a banged up Andrew Thomas and an Evan Neal who has struggled with twitchier edge rushers. This game will be a lot closer than nearly a touchdown spread.

The Giants have the embarrasment factor going for them after being shutout on Sunday Night Football. I expect them to win however I do not expect a big offensive output from either team. Arizona QB Josh Dobbs averaged just 4.4 yards per pass and only 55 plays in week 1. Solid under 40