While Zonovan Knight has taken over as the Jets' featured back, Michael Carter remains the third-down receiving back. The Lions stink on defense, but I'd be pretty surprised if the Jets allow skittish Zach Wilson to throw downfield much. That should allow Carter at least two catches. And what if Knight tweaks an ankle? Then this would be a lock (unless of course Carter gets hurt).

The Jets will turn back to Zach Wilson after Mike White was unable to get cleared, and while that news initially swung towards Detroit, the Jets are now back to being slight favorites. But didn't we see the last few weeks the offense is much better off with White under center? This feels like the market saying Wilson learned his lesson, but I'm worried his teammates won't be on that same page. Plus Quinnen Williams will either be out or severely limited here, while the Lions should have their starting O-line back together with Evan Brown healthy. This line seems hinged entirely on the "Lions in cold weather" narrative, even though they beat the Bears and Giants in colder temperatures a few weeks back.

The Lions are the hottest team in the league right now, while the Jets are starting Zach Wilson. Jared Goff may not be the same QB outdoors that he is indoors, but he and the Lions just beat the Giants last month in the same East Rutherford stadium and with a similar forecast (upper 30s) as this week. The Lions are only 6-7, but they’ve played the toughest schedule in the NFL so far by a mile. All seven of Detroit’s losses were against teams currently above .500, as were three of their wins. Grab the point.

Zach Wilson will start for the Jets due to Mike White's rib injury. In seven starts, Wilson completed an NFL-low 55.6 percent of his throws with more interceptions (5) than TD passes (4). The Jets also could be missing their best defensive lineman, Quinnen Williams, who is questionable with a calf injury but did not practice all week. He has 11 sacks. Jared Goff typically struggles in inclement weather, but it will be 36 degrees with little wind. The Lions can basically taste a playoff berth with Seattle losing Thursday and having to visit K.C. in Week 16. With Aidan Hutchinson (7 sacks) expected to play, I'll back the road dogs.

Garrett Wilson ran a route on 100% of dropbacks against the Bills last week and is firmly entrenched as the number one receiver in New York. He's eclipsed this line five of his previous six outings, while averaging a robust 92 receiving yards over that six game sample. It doesn't matter who is playing QB for the Jets as Wilson piled up 8 receptions for 92 yards and 6 catches for 115 yards in Zach Wilson's last two appearances. The Jets will face a Lions pass defense that is 30th in EPA allowed per dropback so this is an excellent matchup for the stud rookie as well.

Knight has taken over as the primary running back for the Jets. Michael Carter has barely been involved and James Robinson was a healthy inactive last week. Knight has received at least 14 carries in each of the last three games, including a season-high 17 carries in Week 14 against the Bills. With Knight having recorded at least 69 rushing yards in each of those three games, he could blow past the over in a matchup against a Lions team that has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game in the league.

Detroit QB Jared Goff is Superman at home, Clark Kent on the road, especially in the cold. Playing in sub-40-degree conditions, his passer rating is awful, in large part from having more interceptions (seven) than TD passes (six). Of course, the Jets would trade their starter, Zach Wilson, for him. New York had settled on Mike White at QB, but he is injured, leaving the slumping Wilson to try and jump-start an offense with one TD the past two weeks. The Lions' defense is allowing a dozen fewer ppg over the last half-dozen outings compared to the first seven this season.

News just broke that Mike White will not be cleared to play Sunday and it will be Zach Wilson under center against surging Detroit -- this moved the spread from Jets -1.5 to Lions -1 (news story TK). Very tempted to take the under 43.5 points now, too, because that New York defense should slow that high-powered Lions offense. Wow, can't remember last time I typed "high-powered Lions offense."