The Bears have won and covered each of their last three games as home favorites. The Texans looked terrible last week as they only put up nine points. The Bears defense looked elite at home in week 1 holding the 49ers to just 10 points and no points in the second half. This spread is way too low. The Bears should perform in front of their home crowd and win this game by at least a field goal.

I'm a Bears fan, but I'd rather sit in front of my fridge for four hours and watch Jell-O congeal than this Lovie Smith homecoming game. As of this writing, Caesars is the only one of the SL books to have Chicago at -2.5 instead of -3, and I have no interest at -3. Actually think Justin Fields might throw for 100 yards in this one: What a concept in the modern NFL! The offenses are equally inept (Houston hasn't scored a TD in five quarters an an overtime), but I think the Bears have the edge defensively and on special teams. The Monsters of the Midway have to win one home game. Right? Right? Bueller? Bueller?

The Bears pulled off a surprise win in Week 1 in extreme weather conditions, then got pasted by the Packers on Sunday night. I had them as my lowest-rated team heading into the Packers game and see no reason to change that after they completed seven passes in a game they trailed most of the way. The Texans offense has been awful as well but the defense has kept them in games against two teams that were expected to be playoff contenders (but probably aren't knowing what we know now). If the Bears are the worst team in the league, they shouldn't be laying three to anyone.