When the Falcons play top-level teams, they usually get blasted. This is a terrible matchup for the flailing Atlanta offense against a Bills defense that ranks No. 1 in yards allowed. It's scary to lay more than two touchdowns, but it's the right move here. Buffalo's passing attack should thrive against the Falcons' short-handed secondary. Look for a 27-10 type of game with Atlanta falling to 1-7 ATS versus winning teams.