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nfl - Tue 11/24 | 1:15 AM UTC | Raymond James Stadium |

L.A. Rams @ Tampa Bay

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
TB -4
-3
Over / Under
47.5
48.5
ML
TB -210
-190

Matchup breakdown

L.A. Rams
Tampa Bay
PROJ SCORE
7-4
W-L
7-4
6-5
ATS W-L
5-6
3-8
O/U
7-4
4.4
PT DIFF
6.1
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Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Mon 11/23

L.A. Rams @ Tampa Bay | 11/24 | 1:15 AM UTC

UNDER 48.5

LOSS

The Bucs are No. 1 against the run, the Rams are No. 1 against the pass, and both defenses are making great halftime adjustments. Over the past three games, the Rams are giving up an average of 3.3 second-half points, the Bucs 7.3 second-half points. When the Bucs face an elite defense (New Orleans, Chicago), this season, they are averaging 15 points. Go Under.

+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Wed 11/18

L.A. Rams @ Tampa Bay | 11/24 | 1:15 AM UTC

L.A. Rams +4

WIN

Versatile Rams lineman Joseph Noteboom, tasked with replacing injured left tackle Andrew Whitworth, will give up some pressures but I don't think he'll be a turnstile. L.A. came out of its bye refreshed and is well-positioned to not only harass Tom Brady, but to blanket his top weapons. The Bucs have struggled in primetime -- getting blown out by the Saints, losing by one to the Bears and squeaking out a two-point win over the Giants. Grab the points.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+961 22-11 IN LAST 33 LAR ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 TB ATS PICKS

R.J. White

Super Stat Geek
Fri 11/20

L.A. Rams @ Tampa Bay | 11/24 | 1:15 AM UTC

UNDER 48

LOSS

These are two of the best defenses in the league, with the Bucs ranking first in DVOA and the Rams eighth, though the latter is also fist in points per drive and net yards per pass attempt. The Buccaneers defense also blitzes more than any other, and Jared Goff has struggled when blitzed. Pair that with the Rams run game going up against a Bucs stop unit that has allowed a league-best 3.3 yards per carry, and I don't see much in the way of points from Los Angeles. Tom Brady's offense may have issues as well consistently beating a Rams secondary that has been excellent this year. This one might not be 13-3 like the last Brady-Goff matchup, but expect a similar game.

+490 45-36-3 IN LAST 84 NFL PICKS
+280 5-2 IN LAST 7 LAR O/U PICKS

R.J. White

Super Stat Geek
Thu 11/19

L.A. Rams @ Tampa Bay | 11/24 | 1:15 AM UTC

Tampa Bay -4

LOSS

Tom Brady and the Buccaneers face a tall task in this game, as they'll be up against a Rams defense that ranks first in net yards per attempt and points per drive. But a lot of that success has been built against bad teams, with the Rams ranking only eighth in defensive DVOA. You know who's first in that statistic? The Bucs, who dominated the Panthers on the road last week. They blitz more than any team, and Jared Goff struggles mightily against the blitz. That'll keep the Rams point total down, and I think the Bucs offense can do enough against the Rams to get the cover, though you should try to get 3.5 and don't bother playing at more than 4.

+490 45-36-3 IN LAST 84 NFL PICKS
+1516 32-15-1 IN LAST 48 LAR ATS PICKS
+868 22-12-4 IN LAST 38 TB ATS PICKS

Kenny White

Wizard of Odds
Mon 11/23

L.A. Rams @ Tampa Bay | 11/24 | 1:15 AM UTC

L.A. Rams +4.5

WIN

Wow! 4.5 points? These two teams are very evenly matched. The Buccaneers have played two above-average teams, the Saints and Packers. They lost both to New Orleans but manhandled Green Bay. The Rams like to run the ball and play keepaway, plus they have a Top-5 defense. It's true the Rams haven't played a team as balanced as Tampa, but I still think this one will be extremely tight. Take the points.

+875 21-11-2 IN LAST 34 NFL PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 TB ATS PICKS

Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
Tue 11/24

L.A. Rams @ Tampa Bay | 11/24 | 1:15 AM UTC

Tampa Bay -4

LOSS

With an offensive line injury and a quarterback in Jared Goff who does not handle pressure well, the Rams are going to have a helluva time against this Buccaneers defensive front. The top-ranked DVOA defense has not always looked the part this season, but Todd Bowles is going to bring the house on Monday night. Tom Brady finally looks comfortable with his full complement of weapons available, and though I have been bearish on the Bucs this season, I like them in this spot. Tampa Bay was embarrassed the last time it played in prime time and will surely have that in mind entering this game. I waited for this to tick back down to -4 because any higher and you're getting too close for comfort to my -6 projection.

+560 11-5-2 IN LAST 18 TB ATS PICKS
+107 10-8 IN LAST 18 LAR ATS PICKS

Hank Goldberg

Hammer
Wed 11/18

L.A. Rams @ Tampa Bay | 11/24 | 1:15 AM UTC

Tampa Bay -3

LOSS

The Rams lost left tackle Andrew Whitworth to a knee injury, and that is going to mean extra pressure on Jared Goff. He does not handle it well. Tom Brady has terrific weapons around him. I don't think the Rams can hang with Tampa on the Bucs' home field.

+195 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+501 16-10-1 IN LAST 27 LAR ATS PICKS
+217 10-7-4 IN LAST 21 TB ATS PICKS

SDQL Gurus

Serious Scientists
Mon 11/23

L.A. Rams @ Tampa Bay | 11/24 | 1:15 AM UTC

OVER 48.5

WIN

The Rams have gone Under in six straight, but in the history of our database, teams that have gone Under six straight times are 36-21 OU (63.2% Overs) in the next game. If we add the condition that their previous game stayed under by 13-plus points, we get 13-3 OU. The Bucs like to throw the ball and this activates an Over indicator for the Rams. LA is 12-0 OU on grass coming off a road game when facing a team that has averaged at least 37 passes per game season to date. In each of their last four games in this spot, the Rams have scored more than 31 points. The Bucs have scored 38-plus points four times this season -- two more than any other team. The value is with the Over.

+270 8-5 IN LAST 13 NFL PICKS

L.A. Rams

player
QBJaredGoff
17.11fan duel$7,200
18.28draft kings
19.43cbs sports
player
WRRobertWoods
12.21fan duel$7,000
15.51draft kings
9.66cbs sports
player
WRCooperKupp
11.9fan duel$6,800
15.62draft kings
8.99cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
J. GoffJared Goff24/362661.600.880.2919.4
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
D. HendersonDarrell Henderson9.7340.283.60.116.1
C. AkersCam Akers9.9320.263.20.116.1
M. BrownMalcolm Brown7.3230.323.10.095.2
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
C. KuppCooper Kupp5.7640.4011.30.089.0
R. WoodsRobert Woods5.1600.3711.70.079.7
J. ReynoldsJosh Reynolds3.4470.2813.80.086.3
T. HigbeeTyler Higbee3.0350.3211.50.035.4
G. EverettGerald Everett2.6290.1711.00.074.1
V. JeffersonVan Jefferson1.7240.0814.10.022.9
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
L. DSTLAR DST2.970.810.901.31.52.3

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Taylor Rapp, Travin Howard, Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, Terrell Burgess, Kai Forbath, Brycen Hopkins
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

Tampa Bay

player
QBTomBrady
18.54fan duel$7,900
19.62draft kings
21.34cbs sports
player
RBRonaldJones
10.12fan duel$6,500
11.88draft kings
9.02cbs sports
player
WRMikeEvans
10.59fan duel$7,100
13.17draft kings
8.64cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
T. BradyTom Brady24/382621.800.800.0921.3
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
R. JonesRonald Jones12.2540.424.40.169.0
L. FournetteLeonard Fournette11.1400.333.60.137.2
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
C. GodwinChris Godwin5.1630.3512.40.058.4
M. EvansMike Evans3.9550.5214.00.048.6
R. GronkowskiRob Gronkowski3.0410.2913.50.035.8
A. BrownAntonio Brown3.8400.3610.40.056.1
S. MillerScott Miller1.8280.1115.30.023.6
L. FournetteLeonard Fournette1.8130.027.10.137.2
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
T. DSTTB DST2.320.900.911.71.92.5

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

O.J. Howard, Jaydon Mickens, Justin Evans, Ke`Shawn Vaughn, Vita Vea, T.J. Logan, Jack Cichy, Khalil Davis
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 11/24/2020 00:26 GMT