Chris Godwin's expected return should boost the Buccaneeers, who are out to avenge their Week 1 loss in New Orleans. Tampa Bay wasn't focused for Monday's game against the Giants but the Bucs will be locked in here. New Orleans has won four straight, but all the wins came by six or fewer points, and not against elite competition. Lay it.

The Saints should have Michael Thomas back in the lineup on Sunday. He is the best wide receiver in the NFL, catching 86 percent of the passes thrown his way in 2019. Tampa Bay continues to improve each week however the Buccaneers have played only two teams that have an above average power rating. They lost to the Saints in Week 1 and manhandled the Packers in Week 6. With a limited number of fans, Tampa Bay has no home advantage. I have Tampa Bay just a 1 1/2-point favorite.

The Bucs defense did a great job limiting the Saints offense in Week 1, but New Orleans was able to prevail thanks in large part to a Bucs offense that didn't seem to be on the same page yet. While that's no longer the case, I do think this will still be a close game and taking the points at this number makes plenty of sense. The Bucs blitz a ton, but Drew Brees is second only to Patrick Mahomes in passer rating when blitzed since 2019. With his weapons back, Brees should have success here and turn this into a shootout where they can cover even if their defense struggles.

The Saints have won four straight, they are a strong bet on the road and it looks like Drew Brees will have all his top weapons for this one. It's a short week for the Bucs, who played a tough, physical Monday night game against the Giants in which Tom Brady got knocked around. If Tampa Bay defensive coordinator Todd Bowles keeps blitzing so much, Drew Brees will take advantage. That leaves a lot of the field open and Brees thrives on that. This is going to be a close game. Take the points.