You couldn't pay me to watch this game, but the Giants have value with the spread under 3 points. Look, they aren't going 0-16 and if they do win a game or two, it most likely will be at home -- even without fans. NYG is one of only three teams in the past 10 years to start 0-5 and cover in at least 3 games (3-2 ATS). The Giants have some confidence after pushing the Rams and Cowboys in back-to-back weeks, and RB Devonta Freeman is coming off his best game since signing with Big Blue. Washington (1-3-1 ATS) has given up an average of 147.8 rushing yards over the last four games.

This line is telling you the Giants are the better team in this matchup, since teams aren't getting three points for homefield during 2020, but why is that the case? Because they scored 34 points against the Cowboys, one of the worst defenses in the league? Well, that output came with just 300 yards of offense, which was somehow a season-high for the Giants. Washington's offense couldn't get anything going last week against a good Rams defense, but this is a much easier matchup. While both teams have struggled in most facets, I will note that Washington is eighth in red-zone TD rate while the Giants are 31st. Throw in a clear coaching advantage and I love getting a full field goal with Washington.