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nfl - Sun 09/13 | 8:05 PM UTC | Paul Brown Stadium |

L.A. Chargers @ Cincinnati

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
LAC -2.5
-3
Over / Under
41.5
44.5
ML
LAC -135
-175

Matchup breakdown

LAC
Cincinnati
PROJ SCORE
6-9
W-L
4-10
8-7
ATS W-L
9-6
8-7
O/U
8-7
-3.9
PT DIFF
-5.2
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Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Sun 9/13

L.A. Chargers @ Cincinnati | 09/13 | 8:05 PM UTC

Cincinnati +3

PUSH

It's scary to back a rookie in his first NFL start, especially with no preseason games, but the Chargers are going to be a conservative, run-first team behind Tyrod Taylor. They lost arguably their best defensive player, Derwin James, and the explosive Mike Williams is a gametime decision with a shoulder injury. In a game that should be extremely close, take the full field goal.

+1090 22-10-2 IN LAST 34 NFL ATS PICKS
+856 13-4-2 IN LAST 19 LAC ATS PICKS

Mike Tierney

Top Dog
Wed 9/9

L.A. Chargers @ Cincinnati | 09/13 | 8:05 PM UTC

UNDER 43

WIN

Perhaps no game in Week 1 is more impacted by the preseason schedule’s wipeout than this one. The Chargers are breaking in a QB new to the team, with veteran Tyrod Taylor replacing his near-opposite, Philip Rivers. Taylor, a so-so passer, might be denied his primary target in 1,000-yard receiver Mike Williams (shoulder). The Bengals are breaking in a QB new to the league. Joe Burrow will be thrown to the wolves, notably the sharp-toothed DE duo of Joey Boss and Melvin Ingram. It’s a ridiculously unfair ask of the rookie. If the defenses are held to a combined total of one TD, the Under should prevail.

+305 25-20-2 IN LAST 47 NFL PICKS
+550 11-5 IN LAST 16 LAC O/U PICKS

Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
Sun 9/13

L.A. Chargers @ Cincinnati | 09/13 | 8:05 PM UTC

Cincinnati +3

PUSH

This is a sprinkle pick for me on the spread and straight up, as I don't have high hopes for either of these teams entering the season, and yes, Joe Burrow is entering this game as a rookie making his first start without anything resembling a full preseason. Still, the Chargers are going to be terrible this year, and their defense is not good enough to make up for their inadequacies, though their defensive ends will make life difficult for Burrow in his first game. The Bengals offense is loaded with weapons, enough that it should be able to stay within this number if not win outright.

+268 16-12-1 IN LAST 29 NFL ATS PICKS
+480 7-2-1 IN LAST 10 CIN ATS PICKS

Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess
Fri 9/11

L.A. Chargers @ Cincinnati | 09/13 | 8:05 PM UTC

Cincinnati +3

PUSH

It's Joe Burrow's first career NFL start but that's not what stands out to me. What I'm looking at here is Tyrod Taylor starting for the Chargers. No disrespect to Taylor, but he's a stopgap option holding the spot until Justin Herbert is "ready." Well, I don't make a habit of taking stopgap placeholder QBs as road favorites in the NFL. Particularly when they're playing for a team with injuries on the offensive line.

+85 3-2-2 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS
+291 4-1-1 IN LAST 6 CIN ATS PICKS
+90 2-1-1 IN LAST 4 LAC ATS PICKS

L.A. Chargers

player
QBTyrodTaylor
17.99fan duel$7,000
19.4draft kings$5,600
20.19cbs sports
player
QBJustinHerbert
0.88fan duel$6,100
0.88draft kings$5,500
0.98cbs sports
player
RBAustinEkeler
17.19fan duel$7,700
20.94draft kings$7,000
14.79cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
T. TaylorTyrod Taylor20/312771.601.000.1620.2
J. HerbertJustin Herbert1/2150.080.060.021.0
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
A. EkelerAustin Ekeler10.6510.234.80.1514.8
J. KelleyJoshua Kelley8.8400.314.50.146.0
J. JacksonJustin Jackson4.7250.065.40.063.3
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
K. AllenKeenan Allen6.1870.4014.20.0711.3
H. HenryHunter Henry4.7650.4913.90.099.4
A. EkelerAustin Ekeler4.8600.4012.60.1514.8
J. ReedJoe Reed2.3430.1718.60.135.2
M. WilliamsMike Williams1.5330.1321.90.024.3
J. GuytonJalen Guyton1.6310.1319.40.053.9
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
L. DSTLAC DST2.340.790.711.82.02.5

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Derwin James, Drue Tranquill, Jason Moore, Cortez Broughton, Donald Parham
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

Cincinnati

player
QBJoeBurrow
16.67fan duel$6,600
17.57draft kings$5,800
19.3cbs sports
player
RBJoeMixon
14.34fan duel$7,300
16.63draft kings$6,700
13.04cbs sports
player
RBGiovaniBernard
5.02fan duel$4,900
6.24draft kings$4,400
3.92cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
J. BurrowJoe Burrow24/352441.700.770.3919.3
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
J. MixonJoe Mixon16.3650.574.00.1913.0
G. BernardGiovani Bernard5.6180.133.10.133.9
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
T. BoydTyler Boyd5.3610.4211.60.108.7
A. GreenA.J. Green4.3610.4414.30.108.7
A. TateAuden Tate2.7370.1413.70.074.4
J. RossJohn Ross2.2320.3014.70.075.0
T. HigginsTee Higgins2.0270.1413.50.063.5
C. UzomahC.J. Uzomah2.8240.268.70.034.0
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
C. DSTCIN DST1.651.110.651.61.92.3

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Shawn Williams, Trae Waynes, Geno Atkins, Josh Tupou, LeShaun Sims, Renell Wren, Markus Bailey, Trayveon Williams
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 09/13/2020 19:19 GMT