The premise here is simple: Even in must-have games against bad teams, this is a ton of points to lay on the road. The value here is going to be on the Panthers, even with how poorly they've played. The Saints do struggle against the spread when on the road in these outdoor spots in December, but the key trend to know is this: When a road team is favored by double digits in Week 17, that road favorite is 9-2 straight up but 2-9 against the spread. I certainly expect the Saints to win this game, but I imagine it'll be a lower-scoring game with Carolina staying inside the number.

Panthers QB Will Grier had some good moments in his first start last weekend. So from a Carolina perspective, all you want to see in this one is progress from your 2019 third-round draft pick. The Saints still are playing for playoff seeding and will come in with a game plan that's on full throttle. That means the defense will look to be extra-aggressive against a rookie QB.