This is some decent value for the Colts after losing last week and now playing at an undefeated Kansas City. Make no mistake: Losing at home to the Raiders was a bad loss for Indy, but I like the way Jacoby Brissett handles himself and scraps every game. Now, he gets to go against a Chiefs defense that allows 23.5 points per game and 408.5 yards per game. The Chiefs easily covered the playoff game last season, but this is too many points. I took the Colts.

The Colts looked bad in last week’s loss to the Raiders, but injuries played a part in that. The Indy offense just isn’t the same without T.Y. Hilton, who returned to practice and seems to have a good chance to play in K.C. Darius Leonard, out since Week 2 with a concussion, was also back at practice on a limited basis. The Chiefs will score, but the defense is allowing the third-most yards in the league, and a healthier Frank Reich-led team isn't one I expect to get blown out by double digits. Take the points.

This line jumped two points after the Colts' surprising loss to the Raiders, and now we have a little value on the 'dogs. Indy can run the ball against a Chiefs defense that has been the worst in the league at defending the run, and that will help chew clock and make it a closer game than expected. There's no reason to doubt the Chiefs offense, but this feels like it'll be their third straight one-score game against a good team.