My model loves the Denver Broncos this afternoon against a poor Seattle defense. The Seahawks were so, for so long, that the public perception is that they're still a quality defense. Look for the Broncos to feed Royce Freeman, and look for Keenum to connect with Sanders often. Lay it!

The Broncos deserve better than three points at home, where they have one of the best advantages in the league. I expect the Seahawks starters to struggle with the altitude as the game goes along, especially coming out of resting most of the preseason. With Doug Baldwin less than 100 percent, the Broncos defense should have no problem doing its job, while the absence of K.J. Wright hurts for the Seahawks defense. Broncos win by at least three here, so worst-case is a push.