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Owing to their popularity, the Cowboys sometimes spot an opponent slightly more than they should. Rarely do I stand in the Dallas camp two games in a row. But having hit the bulls-eye ATS in Week One, I will stay with them against a clearly inferior Denver club. Dallas is brutally efficient on offense, at least as long as RB Ezekiel Ellliott defers his suspension. If the defense can summon up another herculean effort, as it did when the Giants squeezed out just three points last week, Denver is toast.
The question mark for the Broncos coming into the season was whether they'd be able to move the ball on offense, but they were able to do just that against a quality defense on Monday night. The Cowboys should offer less resistance considering their expected issues when not facing a Swiss cheese offensive line. While the Broncos have to deal with short rest after playing on Monday night, the Cowboys will have to deal with playing at altitude for three hours and will be missing key CB Orlando Scandrick. Expect Trevor Siemian to continue to play well.
We're getting a little value in this line because of the final score Monday night. Denver's win over San Diego wasn't really close. This is going to be a low-scoring game, making these points even more valuable. I don't buy into the perception that Trevor Siemian can't become an above-average NFL quarterback. He's on his way. And Denver's improved run defense will come in handy versus Ezekiel Elliott. Take the points but look for an outright win.
This should be an outstanding test for both teams with the overall theme centered on the defense, as both units come off incredible performances. Dallas held the Giants to 233 yards (35 rushing) while Denver shut down the Chargers, allowing only 249 yards. In both cases, the opponents' offenses were terrible. However, Denver's defense has been busting up solid offensive gameplans for the past three seasons, allowing an average of just over 19 ppg and 305 ypg. This is who they are. Dallas' shutdown of the Giants was more about the Giants' inabilities, but Denver's offense isn't much more creative. Dallas has stayed Under the total in 14 of its last 17 road games, and I like that angle the most.
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