Mike Evans Fantasy football ranking: 2020 outlook, projections, ADP, value, predictions, stats

For the first time in 20 years, Tom Brady will not be a member of the New England Patriots. The Buccaneers' Super Bowl odds have turned upside down after landing Brady, but SportsLine's model is not quite as optimistic. Brady joins a Tampa Bay offense that is loaded with weapons and has churned out some ridiculous numbers through the air over the past couple years. In terms of maintaining his own Fantasy relevancy, Brady couldn't have chosen a better destination.

What about the aforementioned offense loaded with weapons, though -- how will 2019's Fantasy WR2 and WR5 in terms of points per game fare with a new quarterback at the helm? Chris Godwin profiles as the type of short-to-intermediate target who has thrived when playing with Brady in the past, but Mike Evans' Fantasy output could suffer without Jameis Winston chucking him deep balls. Where should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings, and what Mike Evans Fantasy football outlook can you expect?

The 2020 Mike Evans Fantasy football value remains strong, as he's set for another 1,000-yard campaign. He's a top-10 WR candidate in most formats, but how high should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings? Here's what you need to know:

So which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Join SportsLine now to get early 2020 Fantasy football rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.

Mike Evans Fantasy ADP & ranking (via SportsLine's projection model)

No. 22.2 ADP
No. 7 WR

Mike Evans Fantasy projections (via SportsLine's projection model) 

64.7 catches, 1,161 receiving yards, 7.4 receiving touchdowns
161 Fantasy points (non-PPR); 225.7 (PPR)

Mike Evans 2020 Fantasy outlook 

While Brady is likely a real-life upgrade over Jameis Winston for the Buccaneers, he is a clear downgrade when it comes to his ability and willingness to throw the deep ball. In addition to seeing fewer (and potentially less-accurate) downfield targets, Evans is likely to see fewer targets in general with Brady at the helm.

Evans has benefited from a Bucs offense that has led the NFL in pass attempts in back-to-back seasons, and that could drastically change in 2020. The primary reason Tampa has been so pass heavy was the constant negative game scripts they found themselves in as a result of Winston's erratic play. They were leading for just 36.9 percent of their offensive plays in 2019 and just 31.7 percent in 2018. That should change with an improved defense and Brady under center.

There's a possibility that not only will the overall target total in Tampa fall with Brady at the helm, but that the percentage of said targets that go to wide receivers could also fall. In 2019, 62.6 percent of Jameis Winston's pass attempts were directed at wide receivers. Over the past five seasons, Brady's receivers have accounted for a 55 percent target market share. Godwin and Evans were responsible for a combined 45 percent of Tampa Bay's targets in the games they played in. The highest combined target share for two of Brady's receivers over the past five years was 39.7 percent in 2016.

Evans' 2019 Fantasy value was kept afloat by massive spike weeks in which Winston locked onto him and aggressively and repeatedly attacked downfield -- often while trying to erase a large deficit on the scoreboard. Brady spreads the ball around more, which could result in fewer ceiling games for Evans. That, plus the overall downtick in passing volume in Tampa Bay could move Evans out of top-10 or even top-15 Fantasy WR consideration.