The Heat are going to be very shorthanded Wednesday. Tyler Herro (ribs), Norman Powell (back) and Pelle Larsson (elbow) have all been ruled out. Andrew Wiggins (toe) is also listed as questionable. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is already averaging 5.4 rebounds and 4.7 assists in 29 minutes per game this season. He has combined for at least 10 rebounds and assists in 10 of his last 14 games. The Pelicans have allowed the sixth-most rebounds per game and the fourth-most assists per game in the league, so with Jaquez likely in line to log at least 30 minutes, this over is appealing.

Trey Murphy III has a great matchup against the Heat, who play at the fastest pace in the league. He comes into this contest having averaged 29.5 points and 5.5 assists over his last four games. The Pelicans sent Jose Alvarado to the Knicks at the trade deadline, which has left Murphy with the ball in his hands even more. The last time Murphy faced the Heat, he produced 27 points and five assists in Miami. This rematch will be played in New Orleans, where Murphy shoots 49.3% from the field. I like his chances of hitting this over.