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Wed, Jan 282:00 am UTCBall Arena
Detroit
Pistons
DET
Last 5 ATS
W/L35-12
ATS25-22
O/U20-27-0
FINAL SCORE
109
-
107
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L33-16
ATS29-20
O/U30-19-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
35-12
Win /Loss
33-16
25-22
Spread
29-20
20-27-0
Over / Under
30-19-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DET @ DEN
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MONEYLINE
DET @ DEN
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OVER / UNDER
DET @ DEN
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32%
PUBLIC
68%
MONEY
73%
PUBLIC
27%
MONEY
Over86%
PUBLIC
Under14%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadDenver +7 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+951
14-4 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+632
13-6 in Last 19 DEN ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

As the past month, Nikola Jokic (knee) remains out, but the Nuggets have been holding their own in The Joker's absence, standing 9-5 since he went down in Miami on December 29. Denver has had some other injuries in recent weeks, too, making the results the last month all the more impressive. Among those, only Anthony Gordon is likely to be out tonight, as Peyton Watson and Jamal Murray are both expected to play, and note G Deon Strawther pitched in with 20 points in Friday's win at Milwaukee. We usually don't like going against the Pistons but note their road games often aren't easy, with just one double-digit win (at the Lakers on December 30) in their last 13 away. Play Nuggets

Pick Made: Tue 10:13 pm UTC on bet365
Avatar
PointsJonas Valanciunas Over 12.5 Total Points -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+656
66-51 in Last 117 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Despite the brutal matchup on paper, this line is too low for Jonas Valanciunas, who commands a 27% usage rate without Nikola Jokic this season. As Denver will be without Aaron Gordon tonight, look for the Nuggets to play through their big man. Valanciunas is averaging 14 points per 22 minutes this season, and should see upside for more tonight, in his third game back from injury.

Pick Made: Tue 7:38 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBPeyton Watson Over 26.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -116
LOSS
Unit1.0
Larry's Analysis:

With Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun and Cam Johnson still out, Peyton Watson is playing major minutes. He's averaging 36.3 minutes this month, leading to averages of 23.0 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.0 assists. He's shooting 48.4 percent from deep this month. Look for Denver to be very competitive against the favored Pistons, with Watson playing a big part in that.

Pick Made: Tue 7:32 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Detroit Pistons
Saturday, Jan 31, 2026
Avatar
SG
Caris LeVert
IllnessQuestionable
Avatar
PF
Tolu Smith
CalfQuestionable
Denver Nuggets
Monday, Dec 22, 2025
Avatar
SG
Tamar Bates
FootOut
Saturday, Jan 31, 2026
Avatar
SG
Tim Hardaway Jr.
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Christian Braun
AnkleQuestionable
Thursday, Jan 29, 2026
Avatar
PF
Aaron Gordon
HamstringOut
Monday, Jan 26, 2026
Avatar
SF
Cameron Johnson
KneeOut
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