Luka Doncic absolutely may top this by halftime but man that's a big number. And it's certainly possible the Lakers are smashing the Grizzlies and he's out by the fourth -- especially if questionable Ja Morant and "Bad" Santi Aldama are out. Our model has Luka at 32.5 points. He has not topped this in the past five. A little ankle twist in the first quarter (or three fouls) would not be the worst thing. I haven't done many NBA props yet but now that football regular seasons are over ...

The Griz took Friday's game at Crypto.com into the final few minutes before falling just short, and now there is word that Ja Morant is iffy tonight as he deals with a calf contusion. Yet as we saw when Ja was out for almost a month, Memphis can function perfectly well without him, and worth noting the Griz have lost in 10 of the last 13 games in which Morant has been involved. Lakers form lately has been suspect, too, and needed a late spurt to win by 7 on Friday. Defensive issues continue to haunt, as LA has allowed 120 pg across the last five games, and JJ Redick shuffling pieces offensively to compensate for the absence of Austin Reaves (26.6 ppg). Play Griz

Yes, I took the Grizzlies in their previous matchup against the Lakers and it cost me. Maybe I am being thickheaded, but if you’re going to give me all these points again with Memphis facing a Los Angeles team without Austin Reaves, I’m sorry, I have to do it. Give me the Grizzlies plus the points one more time.