Jalen Johnson has been one of the top automatic prop players in the NBA in the month of December. In all categories he has been a force where he is actually averaging a triple double with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists per game. Tonight, I would not be surprised to see the shift of primary scorer back to Trae Young. Young has seen his minutes rise in his first three games back, and may be able to play 35 plus minutes tonight. The Heat are also in a desperate spot to get back in the win column. Half unit fade here on Johnson’s points under.

OK it's post-Christmas and it's time for me to lock in and start winning. Well, really, the New Year is often my "kickstart," but this would be value if Bam Adebayo sits for Miami, which is still without Tyler Herro. It's a little startling how bad the Hawks are WITH Trae Young -- that little dude cannot play an ounce of defense -- as opposed to without as they have lost four straight. But if I wait on Adebayo then this ML probably isn't playable. Since it's the front end of a B2B for Miami, I tend to think the team gives him that extra day off and he plays Saturday back at home. And the Heat are really slumping too; also 5-10 away.