DraftKings. Chet Holmgren has cleared this player prop line in nine of 12 games this season, and in 16 of 23 career games with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and without Jalen Williams. He gets a great matchup against the Jazz, who are a bottom ten team in virtually every playtype in which Holmgren excels. Spread could be an issue, but the Jazz have been plucky at home.

Don't like to play big spreads generally because there's no motivation when a team in theory is smashing another mid-third quarter. But long shots ATS I do like sometimes and think this is a good 4-5 points too high. To be clear, OKC looks truly phenomenal. 75 wins might be in play (it isn't). But Utah is 6-1 ATS at home and this is the Jazz's biggest home game of the season. I have about 50 jokes lined up regarding Jazz fans -- imagine John Stockton wearing Uggs, but more boring -- but now I hope they get rowdy (they won't). Utah has had two practice days to prepare. It's also a one-off trip for OKC in the midst of four home games otherwise.