Even though we like OKC to win by 14 points the Warriors should have Steph Curry back and many Thunder games take 3 quarters to get a large lead. If this game is closer than expected then SGA will get the minutes to cruise over this line. If the Thunder build a big first half lead it'll likely be because SGA comes out with a dominant first half scoring. And with two starters out they'll need SGA to keep playing unless the Warriors raise the white flag which I don't expect in Steph's return. Since last season the over is much higher (32-26, 55.2%) at home than on the road (21-32, 39.6%). He has averaged 42.7 (2-1 over) in his last three vs. the Warriors.

DraftKings. Ajay Mitchell has cleared this line in eight of eleven games this season. Without Jalen Williams, Lu Dort and Aaron Wiggins, Mitchell should once again be in line for around 30-32 minutes. He’s thrived as a secondary creator for the Thunder, with a 24.5% usage rate, which is second behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Warriors should be relatively matchup-neutral, but this line is just too low given Mitchell’s current role. I’d bet this up to over 23.5.