DraftKings. As the Thunder will still be without Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe and Alex Caruso, I’m going back to the well for a third straight game with Ajay Mitchell. The second-year guard has come into his own quickly this season, clearing this line in all three games he’s played. The Mavericks have struggled against the pick and roll early this season, as they do not have plus defenders in the back-court. And to top it off, both Derrick Lively and Daniel Gafford are doubtful to play, which should hurt Dallas at the rim defensively. Mitchell has been incredibly aggressive with 36 drives in his 81 minutes played.

The Mavericks have a great defensive team on paper but so far this season they have not been statistically good allowing 55% on 2pt shots and 40% on 3pt shots. They are also getting outrebounded. As good as the Thunder are they aren't a dominant rebounding team and so far this season they are only shooting 30% from 3pt range without Jalen Williams. Anthony Davis has averaged 11.5 rebounds (he is projected for 12.5) and is 34-22, 60.7% (18-10, 64.3% in home games) over this line since last season. And that includes his relatively frequent early game injuries.