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Sat, May 107:30 pm UTCMadison Square Garden
Track OnCBS Sports
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L67-25
ATS47-45
O/U38-44-1
FINAL SCORE
115
-
93
New York
Knicks
NY
Last 5 ATS
W/L58-35
ATS46-45
O/U45-42-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
67-25
Win /Loss
58-35
47-45
Spread
46-45
38-44-1
Over / Under
45-42-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ NY
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MONEYLINE
BOS @ NY
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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ NY
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52%
PUBLIC
48%
MONEY
65%
PUBLIC
35%
MONEY
Over87%
PUBLIC
Under13%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderOver 205.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+2109
129-98-2 in Last 229 NBA Picks
+1985
68-44-1 in Last 113 NBA O/U Picks
+1245
29-15 in Last 44 NY O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

This series hasn't been as high scoring as we thought but expect that to start changing as the venue shifts to MSG. It took an overtime for Game 1 to chug past 212.5 but no such luck in Game 2 that fell well, well short in the Knicks' 91-90 win. Some staggering offensive inefficiency by the three-point happy Celtics, who have missed an astounding 75 triples across the first two games, have artificially held down the scorelines. Neither team has shot well from the floor (the Knicks are a tick under 43% FGs themselves thru the first two games) and suspect the scoreline is about to break loose in Game 3, and follow the recent NBA playoffs over pattern (20-8 run). Play Celtics-Knicks Over

Pick Made: May 10, 8:59 am UTC on BetRivers
Point SpreadBoston -5.5 -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+2109
129-98-2 in Last 229 NBA Picks
+1048
58-43-1 in Last 102 NBA ATS Picks
+1107
33-20 in Last 53 NY ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Missing a staggering 75 triples across the first two games is a monument to wastefulness, but Boston can do a lot better, especially Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, who combined have missed 58 shots across the pair of losses to the Knicks at TD Garden. A bit better efficiency by each and the Celtics lead this series 2-0 instead of trailing 2-0. As for the Knicks, they haven't exactly been burning the nets, either, a tick below 43% from the floor themselves, instead relying upon the numbing inaccuracy of the Celtics to fuel their comebacks. Lightning has already struck twice in this series; could it possibly do so a third time in a row? Play Celtics

Pick Made: May 10, 8:57 am UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total 3pt Field GoalsKarl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 Total 3pt Field Goals +180
LOSS
Unit1.0
+345
10-6 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
Stephen's Analysis:

Karl-Anthony Towns has not attempted two or more threes in his last three games, making this a valuable bet at nearly 2:1 odds. We love this much +$$$ on a line well under his projection of 1.8 and average of 1.9. The Knicks' "strategy" of coming back from 20-point down in the second-half is clearly not sustainable. Getting Towns to take six or more threes and make two or more is a sustainable strategy that will help the team start faster. He had a similar slow start from three-point range in the Detroit series but came out firing in Game 3. We're buying low on his 8-3 Under stretch since March 28th and are jumping on his 43-26, 62.3% over trend before March 28th.

Pick Made: May 09, 2:24 pm UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadNew York +5.5 -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+92
2-1 in Last 3 NBA ATS Picks
+292
4-1 in Last 5 NY ATS Picks
Stephen's Analysis:

"Live by the three, die by the three" is a well-known NBA phrase, and Boston's 25% three-point shooting in the first two games has been an example of dying by the three. High turnover rates and lack of production in the paint have compounded their struggles. We backed New York in Game 2 because Boston's three-point differential dropped significantly compared to last year's championship team, and Kristaps Porzingis isn't performing well. Boston's three-point differential this season was +2.1, down from +3.5 last season. If 1.4 percentage points doesn't sound like a lot, it is. It's the gap between being 8th in the league (a playoff t versus 17th (a lottery team). Porzingis is still recovering from a respiratory illness, playing limited minutes and contributing minimally.

Pick Made: May 09, 2:20 pm UTC on DraftKings
1st Half Money Line1st Half Boston -218
WIN
Unit1.0
+185
4-2 in Last 6 NBA Game Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

This is about as low of a return as I will go, but desperation should bring out the best in the Celtics. I like the first half spread but given the way this series has treated me already, I am going more conservative here. In the 6 meetings between these teams this season (reg and playoffs), BOS has led at the half in 5 of them (all by at least 9 points). BOS was +5.5 in first half on road this season, 2nd in NBA, averaging 60 points/half (4th). They can build up big leads and take control of games early ... The question remains can they manage not to give it right back?

Pick Made: May 09, 1:34 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Boston Celtics
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Avatar
C
Kristaps Porzingis
IllnessQuestionable
Tuesday, May 13, 2025
Avatar
PF
Jayson Tatum
AchillesOfs
New York Knicks
No Player Injuries
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