The Rockets are resting most of their key players except Jalen Green, as they've locked up the No. 2 seed. LA is going all-out to secure homecourt advantage in the first round. Kawhi Leonard has cleared this prop total in 10 of his last 12 games and should keep scoring efficiently against this watered-down Houston lineup. He's shooting 51.6 percent since the All-Star Break. This could turn into a blowout, but I still like Leonard to get 22 points before exiting. At 22.5, I would still go Over, but for less than a unit.

We'll excuse the Clips for the non-cover vs. the Spurs last night; LA was up 18 well into the 4th Q before a belated SA push in the final minutes made the final a flattering 122-117. Still, the Clips moved to 15-3 SU their last 18, and covers in 12 of 14. There's a good chance Kawhi Leonard returns tonight after resting on Tuesday, focusing instead on the more challenging of this back-to-back. Last night's win has the Clips temporarily into the West's 4th slot but there are also four other teams on 32 losses. One slip and could drop into play-in territory. Meanwhile, Houston might be ready to gear down, having clinched the Southwest and the West's second seed. Play Clippers.

The Houston Rockets are coming off one of their best victories of the season on Sunday, defeating the Golden State Warriors who are 20-5 over their last 25 games. They limited Steph Curry to just three points, but tonight is a fade spot off that great performance. They’ve had a mini layoff, and although the Clippers are in a back to back spot they have won five games in a row, and seven of eight. Take the Clippers as the steep favorite.