The Pacers have been one of the best teams in the league since the turn of the calendar. They took the Lakers to the wire and put 162 points on the Wizards in their last two. This is too many points for a team playing this well.

The Thunder are 15-1 over their last 16 games. They are blowing teams out on a regular basis with 10 of those wins coming by at least 10 points. The Pacers are just 17-22 ATS on the road this season, while the Thunder are 26-11 ATS at home. The Thunder have the best defensive rating in the league and the Pacers could have even more problems scoring with Bennedict Mathurin (calf) out. I like the Thunder to win this in decisive fashion.