New Orleans is playing the second game of a back-to-back and the third game in four nights. They’re also without Zion Williamson and CJ McCollum. The Grizzlies are looking to sweep the season series, but they’re also shorthanded tonight, without Luke Kennard, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Santi Aldama. The line has moved several points in the Grizzlies favor, as they look like the obvious play in this one but we’ll take the contrarian route.

With CJ McCollum, Zion Williamson and Brandon Boston all out for the Pels, Trey Murphy may get 25-plus shot attempts tonight in what figures to be a very fast-paced game, so he would only need to make about a third of those most likely for this to cash (considering a few are 3-pointers, some free throws etc.).