Caesar’s. Continuing my latest in the series of fading primary ball-handlers against the Thunder. Ja Morant is only averaging 32.4 PRA this season. The line is set higher because Jaren Jackson Jr. is slated to miss the game, but even so, Morant is only averaging a 2 PRA uptick per 36 minutes with his big man off the court. If Morant plays (he’s questionable), I see this line as 2-3 PRA too high in what’s proven to be an awful matchup.

Thunder have cooled off from a covering standpoint, but this is a low number for them vs. the failing Grizz. OKC is 13-2 in last 15 games and won 12 of them by at least 8 points. They are averaging 129/G over the last 10 games - best in the NBA . Memphis' defense has collapsed, allowing 124.9/G over last 10 games - worst in NBA. Grizz have failed to cover 8 in a row and allowed 125+ in 7 of last 10 games, Maybe they fix their D eventually but I doubt it's here and they're short of confidence these days. OKC won first 2 meetings by 13 and 24 points. They'll be up to send a message to a Western Conference wannabe.