Trae Young is on a heater right now with back-to-back games of 38 points since the break, but this is still such a big number against a good Miami defense. Young was held to 11 against the Heat the lone time he faced them this season and averages 22.8 PPG at home this season. Also note that Young did play 38 minutes last night so he might be a bit gassed. Our model has Young at 24.4 points.

This is a huge number for Andrew Wiggins who is averaging 24.6 PRA on the season. Wiggins having recently been acquired by the Miami Heat has seen an uptick in playing time, however his usage has remained consistent with his new team. This is also the second half of a B2B set and Wiggins played 40+ minutes yesterday and I think he is unlikely to play that many minutes tonight. I'm comfortable playing this for a full unit at 28.5.