Miami's Terry Rozier only averages 12.4 points on the year but has scored 20 in each of the past two and should get plenty of attempts with Tyler Herro and Jamie Jacquez both out tonight. Our model has Rozier at 17.6 points. Just have to hope the Heat aren't getting slaughtered and Rozier's minutes are curbed.

I have been all over the net for a good 45 minutes trying to find something I am missing here and the Celtics maybe sitting their entire starting lineup .... But I got nothing. Celtics playing great ball on road, they are 4-1 ATS when they are laying 6 points or less on road and I know they re just 7-28-1 ATS after a win, but the Heat are reeling and Boston could play a C+ road game and win by 10. MIA has covered once in last 5 games and twice in last 7 at home, suffering home losses by 20, 20, 9, 36 and 13 at home since Jan. 1. BOS won by 19 at Miami earlier this season.