Evan Mobley has scored just 23 points total over the past three games, but I bet him to score at least 16 on Wednesday in Miami. Darius Garland is out, and he has averaged 15.6 shots per game. Mobley, the Cavs' third-leading scorer, will have to be more aggressive offensively.

Just when the Heat finally started covering a few games they have more Jimmy Butler suspension drama. It's been a major drag on their season and the Cavs broke out of a recent slumber by pounding the Pistons and already lost to the Heat once this season. Miami is 4-10 ATS vs top 12 teams and they've covered just 2 of their last 6 at home. Cavs have lost 3 of 4 on road but won 6 straight by 10 points or more prior to that. Every team experiences dips but I am buying this value, as they would have been a 10-point favorite if this game was played a week or so ago. Cavs are 10-5 ATS when favored by 5.5-10 points.