Caesar’s. Deni Avdija will draw another start with Jerami Grant sidelined once again. Without Grant, Avdija has cleared this line in 3/4 (miss was by the hook), and overall, he’s 10/14 on this line with 28+ minutes. With Avdija’s current rotation at about 32 minutes, I love him to clear this line tonight.

There is a modest concern that this is a blowout and Damian Lillard doesn't play his usual minutes, but otherwise we think he'd be fired up to face his former team and is averaging 25.9 PPG at home. In two games vs. the Blazers last season, Lillard averaged 28.0 PPG. Our model has him at 24.5 points tonight.