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Yeah this is a big number, but the Suns are under .500 for the first time since Christmas of last season so this will matter a bit more -- Grayson Allen is for sure back from an injury and Devin Booker probably is tonight. Memphis is listing half the roster as out led by Ja Morant. Just seems like very few reasonable spreads/MLs this year in the NBA, so we have to take this one even if it's too high. Did same thing last night off site with Sacramento and it cashed.
I know the Grizz have some injuries but they have been short-handed a lot this season. The Suns pieces do not fit, they are just 6-9 the last 15 games and Grizz are 11-4 in that span with a top 3 net rating. Suns have lost 3 of 4 at home despite facing the Pacers and Pistons in that span. Suns are 3-7 this season vs top 10 teams. Play a disconnected style of ball that's hard to get behind, Grizz third best offensive rebounding team in NBA' Suns are average on the D glass. Could see a lot of second chance points here. Suns have been very vulnerable as a favorite.
I will sprinkle on Grizz to win this game. They are playing better ball and are the more solid operation. Suns look lost and desperate for a trade. Grizz have covered 8 of their last 11 on road; PHX 3-8 last 11 ATS at home. Grizz are 21-9 ATS vs bad defensive teams and 7-3 as a dog. Suns are 5-12 ATS at home and 3-9 ATS as a home favorite and have just 5 wins by 8 or more points all season. Memphis is 3rd in NBA with +10 net rating over the last 15 games, while Suns are 17th (-.8_). Are we sure the right team is favored here?
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